BTC.D has recently shown a clear downward trend, retreating to approximately 57.7% from its previous high. Combined with the trend of ETH.D, I believe this is a typical signal of capital rotation: market capital is beginning to withdraw from relatively stable assets and pursue higher-risk, higher-return assets. Historically, a sustained decline in BTC.D has often been a prerequisite for the start of an altcoin season. ETH.D not only represents the strength of Ethereum itself but is often viewed as a bellwether for the entire altcoin market. Currently, ETH.D is performing strongly, with its dominance rate rebounding to 14.0%. Furthermore, ETH/BTC has risen over 4% in the past 24 hours, driven by the rapid rise in ETH prices. This indicates a clear trend of capital flowing from Bitcoin to Ethereum. This trend is a classic scenario of capital rotation: in the first stage, BTC stagnated or even fell, and funds began to flow into ETH; the rise of ETH not only boosted market confidence, but also created conditions for more liquidity to be injected into the altcoin market. Next, OTHERS.D (the market capitalization share of small and medium-sized altcoins excluding top-tier assets like BTC and ETH) deserves attention. Currently, OTHERS.D remains in a prolonged period of sideways trading, having not experienced explosive growth similar to ETH.D. This suggests that capital investment remains concentrated in a few top-tier assets like ETH. While SOL also saw a significant rise today, further confirming signs of capital rotation, it has yet to fully spread to high-risk, small-cap speculative sectors. Judging from the three major indicators, the market is likely in the early stages of rotation: What has happened: BTC.D went down, and funds overflowed. What is happening: ETH.D is rising and funds are pouring into ETH. Not happening yet: OTHERS.D rises, funds spread to small-cap altcoins. @im_BrokeDoomer
Comparing the market capitalization of altcoins and Bitcoin from 2017 to date shows we are currently at a critical support level at the lower edge of the channel. This level has historically been a sensitive area for capital inflow, often accompanied by a rebound in market sentiment and accelerated market rotation. If this support level is confirmed, the altcoin sector is expected to experience a collective surge, marking the official start of a new altcoin season. The general process of starting the altcoin season is as follows: Bitcoin (BTC) starts the market → Ethereum (ETH) follows the rise → BTC regains momentum → ETH breaks through the all-time high (ATH) → large-cap altcoins rise → BTC hits a new high → ETH and large-cap altcoins hit new highs → mid-cap altcoins take off → small-cap altcoins explode We are currently in the third stage, with ETH and large-cap altcoins hitting new highs, and we can expect subsequent explosions in other altcoins. @ZssBecker
During the previous bull run of 2020, the narratives for most altcoins didn’t explode immediately. Instead, they fully took off after ETH prices broke through their all-time highs and tripled. At that point, capital flooded into the new narratives—for example, the gaming sector—driving related tokens up 10, 20, or even 50 times. Hộp cát saw an 80-fold surge at one point, and even the most fringe and fringe gaming projects saw gains of more than ten times. This phenomenon didn’t truly take hold until the middle and late stages of the bull market, but once it took off, it became a period of concentrated wealth effects. I believe this scenario will repeat itself in this market cycle. We are still in the first phase of the altcoin season—a period dominated by BTC and ETH. Only after ETH breaks through $5,000 and major altcoins achieve a 2–3x increase will market capital frantically search for the next narrative. The most likely successors will be AI, RWA, and gaming. These three areas have already been effectively penetrated and profitably exploited by the crypto industry, offering strong narratives and high potential returns. The launch of the last round of the gaming narrative allowed countless people to transform their initial investments of a few thousand dollars into millions of dollars. This time, with larger market capital and a higher risk appetite, the momentum will only intensify once the game begins. For investors, the key isn’t to rush into the market now, but to wait patiently and plan ahead. The peak of the altcoin season will truly arrive when the signal for a narrative shift appears. @lanhubiji
Understanding market structure reveals that an altcoin season is inevitable, but its form may be completely different from the past two cycles. Previously, the number of altcoins was limited, capital was relatively concentrated, and nearly all leading sectors experienced a general rise. Now, with millions of altcoins on the market, competition is extremely fragmented, and it’s impossible for capital to cover all targets. This means that this round of market activity is more likely to see a “localized altcoin season”—funds will be concentrated in a few sectors or individual tokens with strong narratives, strong communities, and strong liquidity, creating a localized frenzy, while the majority of coins will remain ignored by the market. While opportunities still exist for investors, the probability of finding the right target is much lower than in the past, and the current market outlook favors the AI sector. @joao_wedson
The true altcoin season is far from over. Smart money typically flows from BTC to ETH, then into the top large-cap coins, and finally to small and mid-cap tokens. The current market has only just entered the first half, and the true altcoin frenzy is still on the way, potentially lasting all the way into November. In other words, the current surge is just the appetizer; the true main course has yet to be served. Liên kết gốc Bài viết này được lấy từ internet: How far are we from a full-blown copycat season?Recommended Articles Related: Historic moment: Trump officially signs the GENIUS Act Original | Odaily Planet Daily ( @OdailyChina ) Author: Azuma ( @azuma_eth ) In the early morning of July 19th, Beijing time, US President Trump officially signed the highly anticipated GENIUS Act in the East Room of the White House. This not only means that this bill, which will have a profound impact on the development of the stablecoin industry, has gone through all legislative procedures and officially become a law to be implemented; it also means that for the first time in modern history, a US president has signed a law focusing on cryptocurrency, opening a new chapter in the industry. To commemorate this historic moment, the White House invited executives from several cryptocurrency industry companies including Robinhood, Tether, Gemini, Multicoin, etc. to witness the signing of the GENIUS… Phân tích ## bitcoinTiền mã hóa ## ethereumThị trường ## SandboxMã thông báo #© 版权声明Mảng 上一 hình ảnh This week's featured interactive projects: Sentient launches Galxe quests; Arc acquires Discord characters; Cookie DAO l 下一 hình ảnh Stop imagining how US pensions work and listen to the experts on adding cryptocurrency to your 401(k)Recommended Article 相关文章 CoinW Research Institute Weekly Report (July 14, 2025 – July 20, 2025) 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 28.160 1 Official platforms emerge, what concepts are being hyped in the post-Pump era? 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 26.844 2 100 tỷ robot, độc quyền tạo sinh và đường cao tốc tính toán: Tầm nhìn của anh em nhà Liberman về giai đoạn cuối cùng của trí tuệ nhân tạo 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 9.852 SignalPlus Macro Analysis Special Edition: Escalate to De-Escalate? 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 28.343 Tiger Research: We maintain our $200,000 price target amid heightened market volatility. 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 17.499 Is an on-chain “subprime crisis” already emerging? The path to maturity for DeFi structured products. 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 17.522 1 bình luận Bạn phải đăng nhập để co thể để lại một lơi nhận xét! Đăng nhập ngay lập tức muran Khách mời 斤斤计较 4 tháng trước Bài viết mới nhất How to Systematically Track High-Win-Rate Addresses on Polymarket? 2 giờ trước 75 CoinEx Research: Geopolitical Tensions Drive Up Oil and Gold Prices, Crypto Market Absorbs Liquidity Shock 2 giờ trước 239 Low-Threshold Investment in SpaceX and ByteDance: MSX Partners with Republic to Usher in a New Era of Global Top Unicorn Investment 2 giờ trước 198 Hold Bitcoin Mid-Term Short Positions, HYPE Successfully Rides the Wave for Profits | Guest Analysis 2 giờ trước 262 Arthur Hayes: Middle East Flares Up, Time to Be Bullish on Bitcoin 2 giờ trước 288 Trang web phổ biếnTempoLighterGAIBMáy bay lượnPlanckRaylsBCPokerVooi Bee.com Cổng thông tin Web3 lớn nhất thế giới Đối tác đồng xuCá chép Binance CoinMarketCap CoinGecko Coinlive Giáp Tải xuống Bee Network APP và bắt đầu hành trình web3 Giấy trắng Vai trò Câu hỏi thường gặp © 2021–2026. Tất cả quyền được bảo lưu. Chính sách bảo mật | Điều khoản dịch vụ Tải xuống ứng dụng Bee Network và bắt đầu hành trình web3 Cổng thông tin Web3 lớn nhất thế giới Đối tác CoinCarp Binance CoinMarketCap CoinGecko Coinlive Armors Giấy trắng Vai trò Câu hỏi thường gặp © 2021–2026. Tất cả quyền được bảo lưu. Chính sách bảo mật | Điều khoản dịch vụ Tìm kiếm Tìm kiếmTrong trang webOnChainXã hộiTin tức 热门推荐: Thợ săn airdrop Phân tích dữ liệu Người nổi tiếng về tiền điện tử Máy dò bẫy Tiếng Việt English 繁體中文 简体中文 日本語 العربية 한국어 Bahasa Indonesia हिन्दी اردو Русский Tiếng Việt
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