温馨提示：本站仅提供公开网络链接索引服务，不存储、不篡改任何第三方内容，所有内容版权归原作者所有
AI智能索引来源：http://www.bee.com/vi/41004.html
点击访问原文链接

BTC Volatility Weekly Review (January 13-20) | Bee Network

进入原网站 导航首页
BTC Volatility Weekly Review (January 13-20) | Bee Network 20th 4pm Hong Kong time) BTC/USD rose 14.8% (93.5k USD -> 107.3k USD), ETH/USD rose 5.1% (3.22k USD -> 3.38k USD) BTC spot technical indicators at a..." /> 20th 4pm Hong Kong time) BTC/USD rose 14.8% (93.5k USD -> 107.3k USD), ETH/USD rose 5.1% (3.22k USD -> 3.38k USD) BTC spot technical indicators at a..."> Login Tin tức thịnh hành Nền tảng khởi chạy meme Các tác nhân trí tuệ nhân tạo (AI) DeSci TopChainExplorer Dành cho Newbee Tiền xu 100 lần Trò chơi Ong Trang web cần thiết ỨNG DỤNG Phải Có Người nổi tiếng về tiền điện tử DePIN Tân binh cần thiết Máy dò bẫy Công cụ cơ bản Trang web nâng cao Trao đổi Công cụ NFT CHÀO, Đăng xuất Vũ trụ Web3 Trò chơi Ứng dụng phi tập trung (DApp) Tổ ong Nền tảng phát triển QUẢNG CÁO Tìm kiếm Tiếng Anh Nạp xu Đăng nhập Tải xuống Đại học Web3 Trò chơi Ứng dụng phi tập trung (DApp) Tổ ong QUẢNG CÁO trang chủ•Phân tích•BTC Volatility Weekly Review (January 13-20) BTC Volatility Weekly Review (January 13-20)Phân tích1 năm trước (2025)更新Wyatt 38.1991 39

Key indicators: (January 13th 4pm -> 20th 4pm Hong Kong time) BTC/USD rose 14.8% (93.5k USD -> 107.3k USD), ETH/USD rose 5.1% (3.22k USD -> 3.38k USD)

BTC spot technical indicators at a glance: The price of the currency found strong support near $92,000 several times, including a brief break below $90,000 but then quickly rebounded. Since then, it has been rising all the way and ended the week by breaking through $100,000, accumulating enough momentum before Trumps inauguration. After breaking through $100,000, the price of the currency experienced several retreats but then rebounded, setting a new historical high with a large positive line before Mondays settlement, and pausing slightly before the next psychological barrier of $110,000.

From a technical perspective, the market will only activate more upward momentum after fully breaking through $110k and reaching our initial target range of $115-120k. Otherwise, if the upward breakthrough fails to achieve the desired result, the market will temporarily move in a large range of $90-110k, which also means that there will be quite volatile single-line price movements in the next few weeks.

Chợ Chủ đề: In the macro market, weak producer price index (PPI) data released on Tuesday set the stage for slightly weaker-than-expected consumer price index (CPI) data on Wednesday, easing market concerns that the Federal Reserve would not cut interest rates even once.

The market is looking for opportunities to buy mật mã before Trump takes office anyway. Rumors of a pro-crypto policy have been circulating since last week. Against a friendlier macro backdrop, the market didn’t hesitate to temporarily push Bitcoin back to $106k on Friday night. What happened over the weekend (need I say Trumpcoin…) wasn’t a big deal, but it has the potential to hurt Bitcoin’s reputation during the Trump administration, given the sudden increase in wealth for the Trump team. Although SOL was the beneficiary in the short term, Bitcoin still outperformed other altcoins in the end. ETH surged against BTC in a short period of time on the news that “Trump WLFI bought 14.4k ETH” but then quickly faded.

BTC ATM Implied Volatility:

In the middle of last week, volatility pricing for the inauguration event began to increase. Initially, daily volatility was only priced at about 80-82 points (equivalent to a 3.2% price fluctuation) but gradually increased, stabilizing at 90 points of volatility over the weekend. However, before settlement on Monday, volatility rose sharply by 5%, pushing volatility on the day of the inauguration to 110 points (equivalent to a 4.5% price fluctuation). Considering that the price did move so much in a short period of time, it is difficult to argue too much with this pricing.

At the far end of the term structure, volatility swings are still quite high, especially for the February and March maturities, where it seems that there is a lot of flow on both sides, causing the curve to fluctuate 2 points up and down in a short period of time. In general, the implied volatility for these maturities is roughly around 60 points, which is quite high considering that the actual volatility was close to 45 in the 72 hours before the event. But the market may be considering the term premium brought about by the uncertainty of the Trump administrations plans for cryptocurrencies.

BTC Skewness/Kurtosis

Overall, the skewness has gradually increased this week due to demand from the upside, especially as the price of the currency withstood the impact below $90k and returned to $100k. The most notable demand on the upside is the expiration date of the Gamma term that includes the inauguration, considering the tail risk brought by the potential strategic savings policy on the upside. However, at the far end of the term structure, the price action of the skewness is more moderate, as the market has not rolled the call spreads held or added more single-leg upside positions, suggesting that the market has heavily deployed too many positions from the flow at the end of December and expects to continue rolling after the price of the currency breaks through $120,000.

Gamma terms have seen little kurtosis except for the inauguration demand. New upside demand has been mainly executed through call spreads or call butterflies, with net positions providing wing buying pressure to the market. However, given our highly volatile realized volatility and the local range bất chấpned at $90-110k, we believe that being short in the range and long outside the range is a better strategy.

I wish you all good luck in trading in the coming week!

Bạn có thể sử dụng chức năng vane giao dịch SignalPlus tại t.signalplus.com để biết thêm thông tin về tiền điện tử theo thời gian thực. Nếu bạn muốn nhận thông tin cập nhật của chúng tôi ngay lập tức, vui lòng theo dõi tài khoản Twitter @SignalPlusCN của chúng tôi hoặc tham gia nhóm WeChat (thêm trợ lý WeChat: SignalPlus 123), nhóm Telegram và cộng đồng Discord của chúng tôi để giao lưu và tương tác với nhiều bạn bè hơn.

Trang web chính thức của SignalPlus: https://www.signalplus.com

This article is sourced from the internet: BTC Volatility Weekly Review (January 13-20)

Related: LBank Labs 2024 Meme Track Research: Breaking the Circle and Rebirth, From Controversial Narratives to the 100 Billion T introduction As the crypto market matures and the industry landscape continues to evolve, Meme Coin has developed into an emerging market with a market value of over $100 billion, relying on its unique value capture model and community consensus. Against the backdrop of market volatility and a tightening regulatory environment, its resilience and vitality have triggered in-depth reflections on its core value in the industry. In order to fully grasp the development context and future trends of the Meme track, LBank Labs, MetaEra and Con ong Network jointly released the 2024 Meme Track Research: Breaking the Circle and Rebirth, From Controversial Narratives to the 100 Billion Track research report. This in-depth research report, through a systematic analysis of market size, ecological pattern, infrastructure construction, exchange layout and other dimensions, presents in…

Phân tích ## bitcoinTiền mã hóa ## định nghĩaThị trường #© 版权声明Mảng 上一 hình ảnh Faced with the violent pleasure caused by Trump’s coming to power, how can we find our own advantages in the turmoil? 下一 hình ảnh Chain Game Weekly Report | MATR1X FIRE launches AI Agent game version; over 90% of game tokens fall (1.13-1.21) 相关文章 Hyperliquid at a crossroads: Follow Robinhood or continue the Nasdaq economic paradigm? 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 17.468 The Birth of the XT RWA Zone: Industry Turning Points Discussed at the AMA Session 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 16.096 2 Claude takes the championship; the truth behind the showdown of 6 major AI grid strategies | OKX & AiCoin live trading review 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 19.363 1 Earning $4 million in two months, revealing James Wynn’s “hedge trumpet” 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 27.080 1 The Death of Crypto Speculation: Cash Flow, Compound Interest, and the New Holy Grail of Internet CapitalRecommended Art 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 27.623 2 ARK Invest: Stablecoins, the Cornerstone of the Next-Generation Monetary System? 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 8.234 1 1 bình luận Bạn phải đăng nhập để co thể để lại một lơi nhận xét! Đăng nhập ngay lập tức #BeelieverTYRDVMI Khách mời “If you’ve lost money fraudulently to any company, broker, or account manager and want to retrieve it, contact www.Bsbforensic.com They helped me recover my funds!”

12 tháng trước Bài viết mới nhất Did Jane Street “Manipulate” BTC? Decoding the AP System, Understanding the Power Struggle Behind ETF Creation and Redemption Pricing 2 giờ trước 161 Stop Comparing Bitcoin to Gold—It’s Now a High-Volatility Software Stock 2 giờ trước 204 Matrixport Research: $25 Billion Gamma Unwinding Imminent, Liquidity Yet to Return Behind the Rebound 2 giờ trước 195 ERC-5564: Ethereum’s Stealth Era Has Arrived, Receiving Addresses No Longer ‘Exposed’ 2 giờ trước 205 Hong Kong Regulatory Green Light: Asseto Enables DL Holdings to Achieve Compliance for Two RWA Business Implementations 2 giờ trước 207 Trang web phổ biếnTempoLighterGAIBMáy bay lượnPlanckRaylsBCPokerVooi Bee.com Cổng thông tin Web3 lớn nhất thế giới Đối tác đồng xuCá chép Binance CoinMarketCap CoinGecko Coinlive Giáp Tải xuống Bee Network APP và bắt đầu hành trình web3 Giấy trắng Vai trò Câu hỏi thường gặp © 2021–2026. Tất cả quyền được bảo lưu. Chính sách bảo mật | Điều khoản dịch vụ Tải xuống ứng dụng Bee Network và bắt đầu hành trình web3 Cổng thông tin Web3 lớn nhất thế giới Đối tác CoinCarp Binance CoinMarketCap CoinGecko Coinlive Armors Giấy trắng Vai trò Câu hỏi thường gặp © 2021–2026. Tất cả quyền được bảo lưu. Chính sách bảo mật | Điều khoản dịch vụ Tìm kiếm Tìm kiếmTrong trang webOnChainXã hộiTin tức 热门推荐: Thợ săn airdrop Phân tích dữ liệu Người nổi tiếng về tiền điện tử Máy dò bẫy Tiếng Việt English 繁體中文 简体中文 日本語 العربية 한국어 Bahasa Indonesia हिन्दी اردو Русский Tiếng Việt

智能索引记录