BTC high pressure alert: triple critical indicators resonate, a change in the market is imminentRecommended Articles | Bee Network
BTC high pressure alert: triple critical indicators resonate, a change in the market is imminentRecommended Articles | Bee Network
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дом•Анализ•Основной текст
BTC high pressure alert: triple critical indicators resonate, a change in the market is imminentRecommended ArticlesАнализ7 минут назадUpdateУайатт 23 897
59
Автор | Итан ( @ethanzhang_веб3 )
Recently, the price of Bitcoin has continued to hover at a high level, fluctuating repeatedly at the key technical support level of $115,000, seemingly stuck in a “dilemma”.
Under the calm surface, there are undercurrents: market trading volume continues to shrink, investor sentiment tends to be cautious, and three core on-chain indicators – futures short leverage strength, the degree of realized profit release on the chain, and the movement of whale funds – are simultaneously approaching historical extremes . This rare superposition of the critical state of the three indicators makes the current market structure extremely fragile and the high-pressure situation is significant. Any abnormal movement of any key indicator may become the fuse that triggers violent market fluctuations.
Signal 1: Shorts continue to exert pressure, and OI net positions fall below the $100 million warning line
According to CryptoQuant data, on July 25, the net open interest (OI) of the BTC futures market fell below the $100 million mark again, hitting a new low since early July and entering the “maximum short suppression” range. This means that short contracts are absolutely dominant in the capital structure, severely compressing the leverage space of longs. Historical rules reveal the significance of early warning: Whenever the OI net position enters this area (such as October 2023, March 2024, and early July 2025), the market tends to fluctuate violently in the short term. Extreme short-selling suppression usually creates a local bottom or triggers a short-term explosive rebound. Analysis of potential trigger points: Shorts continue to increase their bets, expecting the price to eventually break down. However, from the perspective of market behavior, the extremely crowded short structure itself is a typical reverse signal – once the price starts to rebound, the large-scale stop-loss liquidation of shorts will form a “short squeeze” effect, pushing the price up explosively. The core observation point of the current market is whether Bitcoin can effectively break through the resistance range of $116,000-118,000 and ignite this “short powder keg”. Signal 2: Whales are selling at a high price, Galaxy Digital transfers another 3,700 BTC
While the futures structure is highly tight, the “real” variables on the chain – the behavior of whales holding coins – do not provide any breathing space for bulls. On-chain data shows that an old wallet address holding more than 80,000 BTC has been continuously transferring assets to exchanges and new addresses since July 15. The address was later identified as being hosted by Galaxy Digital, which is assisting in selling the assets obtained from early mining in batches. Latest trends and holdings perspective: As of July 24, more than 68,000 BTC have been confirmed to have been transferred out, flowing into exchanges such as Binance, Bitstamp, OKX, Bybit and new addresses of suspected OTC buyers. In just 24 hours, the address distributed another 3,715 BTC (about $428 million) to 12 new addresses. The wallet currently still holds 18,504 BTC, worth more than $2.1 billion. Рынок interpretation and strategic impact: For the market, Galaxy’s unliquidated positions are still a “Sword of Damocles” hanging high. Although the current price has not dropped significantly, the real selling pressure on the chain is far from over, which provides the confidence for the shorts to maintain their positions. It is worth noting that its transfer rhythm (small batches, multiple batches) shows that it adopts a “mild but persistent” distribution strategy , aiming to avoid concentrated selling to impact the market. Although this strategy alleviates the short-term stampede risk, it may prolong the suppression period and delay the time window for the market to completely strengthen. Signal 3: Profits are being cashed out, 7-day PNL hits the second highest level of the year
The third major warning signal on the chain has emerged: Bitcoin’s 7-day average net realized profit (PNL) soared to $1.9 billion on July 24, the second highest point since 2025, second only to the peak in March. Historical backtesting associated risks: The past three similar profit realization peaks (November 2023, March 2024, and January 2025) all indicate the formation of a staged top to varying degrees. The internal logic is that high prices prompt holders to concentrate on realizing profits. If the subsequent buying is insufficient, the selling pressure will self-reinforce, forming a “profit-taking top”. Current Assessment and Warning: Although the BTC price has not reached a new high, the PNL indicator has risen rapidly, indicating that a large amount of funds have chosen to cash in early . Part of the selling may come from long-term holders (LTH) who have held the currency for more than 1 year. Their outflow often suggests that the confidence of medium-term traders is loosening. Key divergence point: Although the cashing scale of $1.9 billion has not reached the historical peak and belongs to the category of “healthy adjustment”, if the indicator continues to rise in the next few days and the price stagnates, it may confirm the risk of a reversal of long and short forces. High-pressure market: long-short game at the critical point
The current market presents a typical “triple critical” high-pressure structure: futures short leverage reaches its peak, on-chain profit-taking accelerates, and whale real selling pressure remains unresolved. Any sudden change in a single variable is enough to break the current fragile balance and trigger a new round of market conditions. The core logic of the long-short confrontation: Short view: BTC price is constrained by the resistance level of $118,000, the Galaxy balance is not cleared, and the PNL is high. The downside risk still exists. Bulls rely on: Betting on excessive short leverage (short squeeze potential), marginal decreasing selling pressure and accumulation of structural rebound potential. Historical experience and path deduction: This kind of high-pressure state is difficult to maintain for a long time. The key watershed is: If the $112,000 support level is effectively broken, the short-term downward trend will be confirmed. If the $118,000 resistance zone is broken through strongly, it may trigger large-scale short stop-loss liquidation, pushing prices up rapidly. Investor strategy recommendations: Faced with high uncertainty, short- and medium-term investors should not place heavy bets on a single direction . Compared with “chasing up and selling down”, reducing leverage, closely tracking capital movements and technical structure changes, and waiting for directional signals to become clear before making decisions are more prudent strategic choices. Conclusion: Avoid one-sided bets and keep your strategy flexible
The Bitcoin market is at a critical moment of extreme confrontation between long and short structures . This is not a period of unilateral bull market acceleration, nor a period of bear market confirmation, but a typical “oscillation convergence” window. On the one hand, the basic indicators on the chain (such as active addresses and transaction frequency) have not declined significantly, indicating that the market is still vibrant; on the other hand, the position structure, price momentum and sentiment indicators are simultaneously on the verge of limits. Any leading force (long/short) that breaks first may trigger a chain reaction of technical breakouts and capital stampedes. The market has no lack of momentum for direction selection, but only lacks the opportunity to make the final move. This opportunity may come from a sudden macro-good news, a whale liquidation, or a round of concentrated liquidation. Before the trend is settled, it is better to keep the strategy flexible than to bet blindly on the direction. Эта статья взята из интернета: BTC high pressure alert: triple critical indicators resonate, a change in the market is imminentRecommended Articles Related: 24H Hot Coins and News | Jun Ji-hyuns husband lost 15 billion won in криптовалютаcurrency trading and became a hot topic; US V 1. Popular currencies on CEX CEX top 10 trading volume and 24-hour rise and fall: BTC: +0.02% ETH: -0.55% XRP: +3.47% SOL: +1.64% BNB: +0.27% DOGE: -8.89% HUMA: +1.79% DOGE: -0.34% PEPE: +0.78% SUI: -0.05% 24H increase list (data source: OKX): SWEAT: +15.83% UMA: +13.97% PROMPT: +12.46% ANIME: +12.01% GLMR: +7.82% ICP: +7.11% MEMEFI: +7.03% CFG: +6.61% RVN: +5.47% RAY: +5.36 2. 24H hot search currencies HUMA: is a PayFi protocol that enables real-time, stablecoin-backed payments and credit services. Headlines Jun Ji-hyuns husband lost 15 billion won in cryptocurrency trading became a hot search on Weibo and Baidu Jun Ji-hyuns husband lost 15 billion won in cryptocurrency trading has become a hot search on Weibo and Baidu, currently ranking 15th on Baidus hot search list and 21st on Weibos hot… Анализ ## биткоин# cryptoОбмен #Рынок ## web3© Copyright NoticeМассив Pre ETH vs SOL: Crypto War in 2025, Trillion Capital Bet on the New and Old OrderRecommended Articles Next Is it still necessary to play Polymarket now? What is the best strategy for retail investors?Recommended Articles Related articles Looking ahead to the bull market through the US election: How to use AI trading to help seize new opportunities? | Trend 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 39 623 2 From Filecoin, Arweave to Walrus and Shelby: How far is the road to popularization of decentralized storage? 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 26 542 3 Cobo｜RWAs DeepSeek moment is coming: a panoramic analysis of development trends, implementation paths and institutional 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 28 959 1 A $2,000 Christmas “heist”: Trump and his tariff windfall 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 17 097 1 Five cryptocurrencies defied market trends and surged; which one is the next potential winner? 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 18 088 1 Gate Research: BTCFi diffusion drives Starknet’s upward surge; high-performance L1 and on-chain finance narrative gain momentum. 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 19 891 Нет комментариев Вы должны войти в систему, чтобы оставить комментарий! Немедленно войдите в систему Нет комментариев... Bee.com Крупнейший в мире портал Web3. Партнеры CoinCarp Binance CoinMarketCap CoinGecko Coinlive Доспехи Загрузите приложение Bee Network APP и начните путешествие по web3 Белая книга Роли ЧАСТО ЗАДАВАЕМЫЕ ВОПРОСЫ © 2021-2026. Все права защищены. Политика конфиденциальности | Условия предоставления услуг Скачать приложение Bee Network APP и начните путешествие по web3 Крупнейший в мире портал Web3 Партнеры CoinCarp Binance CoinMarketCap CoinGecko Coinlive Armors Белая книга Роли ЧАСТО ЗАДАВАЕМЫЕ ВОПРОСЫ © 2021-2026. Все права защищены. Политика конфиденциальности | Условия предоставления услуг Поиск ПоискInSiteOnChainСоциальнаяНовости Hot to you: Охотники за воздухом Анализ данных Криптознаменитости Детектор-ловушка Русский English 繁體中文 简体中文 日本語 Tiếng Việt العربية 한국어 Bahasa Indonesia हिन्दी اردو Русский
According to CryptoQuant data, on July 25, the net open interest (OI) of the BTC futures market fell below the $100 million mark again, hitting a new low since early July and entering the “maximum short suppression” range. This means that short contracts are absolutely dominant in the capital structure, severely compressing the leverage space of longs. Historical rules reveal the significance of early warning: Whenever the OI net position enters this area (such as October 2023, March 2024, and early July 2025), the market tends to fluctuate violently in the short term. Extreme short-selling suppression usually creates a local bottom or triggers a short-term explosive rebound. Analysis of potential trigger points: Shorts continue to increase their bets, expecting the price to eventually break down. However, from the perspective of market behavior, the extremely crowded short structure itself is a typical reverse signal – once the price starts to rebound, the large-scale stop-loss liquidation of shorts will form a “short squeeze” effect, pushing the price up explosively. The core observation point of the current market is whether Bitcoin can effectively break through the resistance range of $116,000-118,000 and ignite this “short powder keg”. Signal 2: Whales are selling at a high price, Galaxy Digital transfers another 3,700 BTC
While the futures structure is highly tight, the “real” variables on the chain – the behavior of whales holding coins – do not provide any breathing space for bulls. On-chain data shows that an old wallet address holding more than 80,000 BTC has been continuously transferring assets to exchanges and new addresses since July 15. The address was later identified as being hosted by Galaxy Digital, which is assisting in selling the assets obtained from early mining in batches. Latest trends and holdings perspective: As of July 24, more than 68,000 BTC have been confirmed to have been transferred out, flowing into exchanges such as Binance, Bitstamp, OKX, Bybit and new addresses of suspected OTC buyers. In just 24 hours, the address distributed another 3,715 BTC (about $428 million) to 12 new addresses. The wallet currently still holds 18,504 BTC, worth more than $2.1 billion. Рынок interpretation and strategic impact: For the market, Galaxy’s unliquidated positions are still a “Sword of Damocles” hanging high. Although the current price has not dropped significantly, the real selling pressure on the chain is far from over, which provides the confidence for the shorts to maintain their positions. It is worth noting that its transfer rhythm (small batches, multiple batches) shows that it adopts a “mild but persistent” distribution strategy , aiming to avoid concentrated selling to impact the market. Although this strategy alleviates the short-term stampede risk, it may prolong the suppression period and delay the time window for the market to completely strengthen. Signal 3: Profits are being cashed out, 7-day PNL hits the second highest level of the year
The third major warning signal on the chain has emerged: Bitcoin’s 7-day average net realized profit (PNL) soared to $1.9 billion on July 24, the second highest point since 2025, second only to the peak in March. Historical backtesting associated risks: The past three similar profit realization peaks (November 2023, March 2024, and January 2025) all indicate the formation of a staged top to varying degrees. The internal logic is that high prices prompt holders to concentrate on realizing profits. If the subsequent buying is insufficient, the selling pressure will self-reinforce, forming a “profit-taking top”. Current Assessment and Warning: Although the BTC price has not reached a new high, the PNL indicator has risen rapidly, indicating that a large amount of funds have chosen to cash in early . Part of the selling may come from long-term holders (LTH) who have held the currency for more than 1 year. Their outflow often suggests that the confidence of medium-term traders is loosening. Key divergence point: Although the cashing scale of $1.9 billion has not reached the historical peak and belongs to the category of “healthy adjustment”, if the indicator continues to rise in the next few days and the price stagnates, it may confirm the risk of a reversal of long and short forces. High-pressure market: long-short game at the critical point
The current market presents a typical “triple critical” high-pressure structure: futures short leverage reaches its peak, on-chain profit-taking accelerates, and whale real selling pressure remains unresolved. Any sudden change in a single variable is enough to break the current fragile balance and trigger a new round of market conditions. The core logic of the long-short confrontation: Short view: BTC price is constrained by the resistance level of $118,000, the Galaxy balance is not cleared, and the PNL is high. The downside risk still exists. Bulls rely on: Betting on excessive short leverage (short squeeze potential), marginal decreasing selling pressure and accumulation of structural rebound potential. Historical experience and path deduction: This kind of high-pressure state is difficult to maintain for a long time. The key watershed is: If the $112,000 support level is effectively broken, the short-term downward trend will be confirmed. If the $118,000 resistance zone is broken through strongly, it may trigger large-scale short stop-loss liquidation, pushing prices up rapidly. Investor strategy recommendations: Faced with high uncertainty, short- and medium-term investors should not place heavy bets on a single direction . Compared with “chasing up and selling down”, reducing leverage, closely tracking capital movements and technical structure changes, and waiting for directional signals to become clear before making decisions are more prudent strategic choices. Conclusion: Avoid one-sided bets and keep your strategy flexible
The Bitcoin market is at a critical moment of extreme confrontation between long and short structures . This is not a period of unilateral bull market acceleration, nor a period of bear market confirmation, but a typical “oscillation convergence” window. On the one hand, the basic indicators on the chain (such as active addresses and transaction frequency) have not declined significantly, indicating that the market is still vibrant; on the other hand, the position structure, price momentum and sentiment indicators are simultaneously on the verge of limits. Any leading force (long/short) that breaks first may trigger a chain reaction of technical breakouts and capital stampedes. The market has no lack of momentum for direction selection, but only lacks the opportunity to make the final move. This opportunity may come from a sudden macro-good news, a whale liquidation, or a round of concentrated liquidation. Before the trend is settled, it is better to keep the strategy flexible than to bet blindly on the direction. Эта статья взята из интернета: BTC high pressure alert: triple critical indicators resonate, a change in the market is imminentRecommended Articles Related: 24H Hot Coins and News | Jun Ji-hyuns husband lost 15 billion won in криптовалютаcurrency trading and became a hot topic; US V 1. Popular currencies on CEX CEX top 10 trading volume and 24-hour rise and fall: BTC: +0.02% ETH: -0.55% XRP: +3.47% SOL: +1.64% BNB: +0.27% DOGE: -8.89% HUMA: +1.79% DOGE: -0.34% PEPE: +0.78% SUI: -0.05% 24H increase list (data source: OKX): SWEAT: +15.83% UMA: +13.97% PROMPT: +12.46% ANIME: +12.01% GLMR: +7.82% ICP: +7.11% MEMEFI: +7.03% CFG: +6.61% RVN: +5.47% RAY: +5.36 2. 24H hot search currencies HUMA: is a PayFi protocol that enables real-time, stablecoin-backed payments and credit services. Headlines Jun Ji-hyuns husband lost 15 billion won in cryptocurrency trading became a hot search on Weibo and Baidu Jun Ji-hyuns husband lost 15 billion won in cryptocurrency trading has become a hot search on Weibo and Baidu, currently ranking 15th on Baidus hot search list and 21st on Weibos hot… Анализ ## биткоин# cryptoОбмен #Рынок ## web3© Copyright NoticeМассив Pre ETH vs SOL: Crypto War in 2025, Trillion Capital Bet on the New and Old OrderRecommended Articles Next Is it still necessary to play Polymarket now? What is the best strategy for retail investors?Recommended Articles Related articles Looking ahead to the bull market through the US election: How to use AI trading to help seize new opportunities? | Trend 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 39 623 2 From Filecoin, Arweave to Walrus and Shelby: How far is the road to popularization of decentralized storage? 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 26 542 3 Cobo｜RWAs DeepSeek moment is coming: a panoramic analysis of development trends, implementation paths and institutional 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 28 959 1 A $2,000 Christmas “heist”: Trump and his tariff windfall 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 17 097 1 Five cryptocurrencies defied market trends and surged; which one is the next potential winner? 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 18 088 1 Gate Research: BTCFi diffusion drives Starknet’s upward surge; high-performance L1 and on-chain finance narrative gain momentum. 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 19 891 Нет комментариев Вы должны войти в систему, чтобы оставить комментарий! Немедленно войдите в систему Нет комментариев... Bee.com Крупнейший в мире портал Web3. Партнеры CoinCarp Binance CoinMarketCap CoinGecko Coinlive Доспехи Загрузите приложение Bee Network APP и начните путешествие по web3 Белая книга Роли ЧАСТО ЗАДАВАЕМЫЕ ВОПРОСЫ © 2021-2026. Все права защищены. Политика конфиденциальности | Условия предоставления услуг Скачать приложение Bee Network APP и начните путешествие по web3 Крупнейший в мире портал Web3 Партнеры CoinCarp Binance CoinMarketCap CoinGecko Coinlive Armors Белая книга Роли ЧАСТО ЗАДАВАЕМЫЕ ВОПРОСЫ © 2021-2026. Все права защищены. Политика конфиденциальности | Условия предоставления услуг Поиск ПоискInSiteOnChainСоциальнаяНовости Hot to you: Охотники за воздухом Анализ данных Криптознаменитости Детектор-ловушка Русский English 繁體中文 简体中文 日本語 Tiếng Việt العربية 한국어 Bahasa Indonesia हिन्दी اردو Русский
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简介：在平平淡淡的学习、工作、生活中，大家都接触过作文吧，作文根据写作时限的不同可以分为限时作文和非限时作文。你写作文时总是无
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2026-03-02 03:49:41
教育培训
成功
标题：【精华】柳树二年级作文集合5篇
简介：在平平淡淡的学习、工作、生活中，说到作文，大家肯定都不陌生吧，通过作文可以把我们那些零零散散的思想，聚集在一块。你知道作
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2026-02-28 23:06:26
教育培训
成功
标题：小学的作文300字[经典3篇]
简介：在日常的学习、工作、生活中，许多人都写过作文吧，作文是人们把记忆中所存储的有关知识、经验和思想用书面形式表达出来的记叙方
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2026-02-28 11:56:07
综合导航
成功
标题：MP Men's Tempo Joggers Black MYPROTEIN™
简介：Check out our new MP Tempo Training Joggers, in a slim-fit a
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2026-03-01 03:19:22
教育培训
成功
标题：乐趣的小学作文[优选6篇]
简介：在学习、工作乃至生活中，许多人都写过作文吧，作文是经过人的思想考虑和语言组织，通过文字来表达一个主题意义的记叙方法。为了
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2026-03-01 17:16:04
教育培训
成功
标题：【精选】我的弟弟作文300字四篇
简介：在学习、工作、生活中，大家对作文都不陌生吧，借助作文人们可以反映客观事物、表达思想感情、传递知识信息。相信许多人会觉得作
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2026-03-01 16:28:51
综合导航
成功
标题：谢谢您妈妈初中作文
简介：在我们平凡的日常里，大家或多或少都会接触过作文吧，作文是人们以书面形式表情达意的言语活动。相信许多人会觉得作文很难写吧，
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2026-03-01 13:00:53
教育培训
成功
标题：母亲节的礼物作文
简介：在学习、工作乃至生活中，大家一定都接触过作文吧，写作文可以锻炼我们的独处习惯，让自己的心静下来，思考自己未来的方向。一篇
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2026-03-01 12:38:04
综合导航
成功
标题：Certified Nursing Assistant-Day · GQR
简介：Contract - W2 Certified Nurse Assistant (CNA) Job Location:
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2026-03-02 03:46:46
综合导航
成功
标题：变脸妈妈的作文600字四篇
简介：无论是在学校还是在社会中，许多人都写过作文吧，作文是一种言语活动，具有高度的综合性和创造性。那么一般作文是怎么写的呢？以
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2026-02-28 11:00:51
综合导航
成功
标题：耀眼_时玖远_第112章 Chapter 112_风云中文网
简介：风云中文网提供耀眼(时玖远)第112章 Chapter 112在线阅读,所有小说均免费阅读,努力打造最干净的阅读环境,2