温馨提示：本站仅提供公开网络链接索引服务，不存储、不篡改任何第三方内容，所有内容版权归原作者所有
AI智能索引来源：http://www.bee.com/ja/61211.html
点击访问原文链接

Solomon’s public offering results were manipulated; Polymarket predicts a trust crisis in the crypto market. | Bee Network

进入原网站 导航首页
Solomon’s public offering results were manipulated; Polymarket predicts a trust crisis in the crypto market. | Bee Network Login トレンドニュース ミーム・ローンチパッド AIエージェント デサイ トップチェーンエクスプローラー 初心者向け 100x コイン ビーゲーム 重要なウェブサイト 必須のアプリ クリプトセレブリティ デピン ルーキーズ・エッセンシャル トラップディテクタ 基本的なツール 高度な Web サイト 交換 NFTツール こんにちは、 サインアウト Web3 ユニバース ゲーム ダップ ミツバチの巣 成長するプラットフォーム 広告 検索 英語 コインをリチャージする ログイン ダウンロード Web3 ユニ ゲーム ダップ ミツバチの巣 広告 ホーム-分析-Solomon’s public offering results were manipulated; Polymarket predicts a trust crisis in the crypto market. Solomon’s public offering results were manipulated; Polymarket predicts a trust crisis in the crypto market.分析3ヶ月前更新ワイアット 17,428 1 Author｜Golem ( @ウェブ3_ゴーレム )

Despite the recent spate of defaults in stablecoins, market enthusiasm for stablecoin protocols remains undiminished. On November 19th, Solomon Labs, a stablecoin protocol on Solana, announced the conclusion of its five-day public offering, raising over $102 million from 6,604 investors through MetaDao, making it the second-highest-funded project on MetaDao to date, second only to UmbraPrivacy.

In a sluggish market, it’s usually cause for celebration that a project can secure substantial funding in the public market. However, Solomon Labs’ success has left some players on Polymarket feeling rather disappointed.

This is all because there is a prediction on Polymarket called “Total commitments for the Solomon public sale on MetaDAO”, where players can bet on the probability of “Solomon ultimately raising no more than how much money”.

On the afternoon of November 18th, with less than 12 hours left before the fundraising ended, Solomon had only raised $7.25 million . As a result, some players were convinced that it would not be able to raise more than $40 million in the remaining time, so they bought “no” on Polymarket. Some even more conservative players bought “no” for “Solomon raising more than $100 million”. The probability of this outcome remained at around 97% until 3 hours before the fundraising ended.

However, in the last hour or two before the fundraising ended, a large amount of funds suddenly poured into the Solomon public offering, raising the total amount raised to $100 million. The probability of “Solomon raising more than $100 million” on Polymarket also instantly jumped from 1.6% to 99%. The speed and timing were so precise that many Polymarket players did not have time to react and sell, ultimately losing 100% of their principal in their attempt to gain a 1% “investment return”.

The probability of Solomon raising over $100 million surged at the last minute.

In the aftermath, Solomon officially と述べた there were no insiders or behind-the-scenes transactions involved in the public offering. However, this explanation seemed somewhat weak, as the community discovered a Polymarket trader who had pre-bet “yes” on the low-probability outcome of Solomon’s fundraising, and profited over $560,000 from it.

Insider trading by the project team or manipulation by large investors? The trader, named KimballDavies, joined Polymarket in September 2024. His slogan is “metadao, prediction markets,” which likely indicates that he specializes in predicting events related to metadao.

However, since joining, this trader has only placed bets on two events: one is buying $10 on September 25, 2024, on the prediction that “the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 50 basis points after November 2024”; the other is investing a total of $65,703.58 in the Solomon mutual fund event.

Insider trading by the project developer? Starting November 17, Kimball Davies began buying “yes” in batches when “Solomon raised more than $40 million,” and in the following two days, he also bought “yes” when it raised more than $60 million, $80 million, and $100 million.

This shows that the trader began planning the operation on November 19th as early as November 17th, and ultimately earned $567,554, nearly ten times the initial investment… Therefore, we reasonably suspect that KimballDavies had insider information.

What’s even more intriguing is the ownership of this account. The prevailing speculation in the community is that the account belongs to the project team, who allegedly injected tens of millions of dollars at the last minute, all to earn the $500,000+ from Polymarket?

While such a possibility exists, it seems logically untenable upon closer examination. First, is $500,000 a mere pittance for a project launching a public offering of tokens? To pour tens of millions into a project with only $500,000 seems petty. Second, if this happens, anyone would first suspect the project team. To ruin the project’s reputation for $500,000, thereby affecting community trust and potentially even negatively impacting future exchange listings, is simply not worth it.

Of course, there’s also the possibility of internal team members placing bets privately. The project team might have a Plan B in place, where, given the limited public offering funds, they could inject a large amount of their own money to both further control the token supply and conduct a marketing campaign. Thus, the “intern” who knew about this plan secretly placed bets on all the low-probability events on Polymarket.

Large-scale manipulation is more likely If we rule out the possibility of insider trading by the project team, then the large amount of funds injected into the Solomon public offering at the last minute could only be the work of large investors, or at least the work of their “underlings” who knew the information in advance.

These large investors may have already been involved in the Solomon public offering, but they noticed the predictions about the Solomon public offering funds on Polymarket. So, driven by the desire to make money or just for “fun,” they decided to teach Polymarket players a lesson, letting small investors know that money can manipulate and predict market outcomes.

This isn’t the first time large investors have manipulated the outcome of events on Polymarket. In July 2025, during a prediction contest about whether Ukrainian President Zelensky would wear a suit before July, even though mainstream media had reported that Zelensky wore a suit at a certain event, some UMA whales voted “no” in the final result vote, ultimately resulting in the winner being the trader who bet on him not wearing a suit. (Related reading: Polymarket embroiled in another truth controversy: What Zelensky wears will determine the ownership of $140 million )

Polymarket does not predict the truth about 暗号graphy. While there have been past cases of large-scale manipulation in prediction markets, the Solomon public offering prediction is the first event in the crypto market with significant allegations of insider trading. This event signals that as the number of crypto players and the amount of funds on Polymarket grow, it is becoming the perfect breeding ground for exploitation due to information asymmetry in the crypto market.

For example, betting on when a project will reach its final outcome (TGE) or what its FDV will be at TGE inherently presents an asymmetric advantage, because the project team and VCs already know the outcome and can easily manipulate it. The more funds in the prediction pool, the stronger their incentive to act maliciously.

In these events, Polymarket doesn’t predict the truth; it only reflects human greed. For ordinary users like us, this event once again demonstrates the risks of end-of-day strategies. What seems like a foolproof investment scheme with a 99% success rate might be a carefully crafted trap waiting for you to walk right into it. (Related reading: 95% win rate, still losing money: I’ve stepped into the end-of-day “investment” trap for you )

In traditional financial markets, insider trading is subject to strict legal penalties upon discovery; in the crypto market, money laundering, insider trading, and market manipulation are gradually receiving regulatory intervention; however, in the rapidly growing prediction market sector, there are still few laws and regulations to regulate these wrongdoings. Even if someone were to come forward today claiming to have manipulated the Solomon public offering results, what can we do besides despising their shady dealings?

However, it is believed that in the future, countries will regulate the behavior of prediction markets more, and at that time, Polymarket may be able to predict the truth outside of public events.

この記事はインターネットから得たものです。 Solomon’s public offering results were manipulated; Polymarket predicts a trust crisis in the crypto market.Recommended Articles

Related: Ethereum Interop Roadmap: How to Unlock the “Last Mile” to Mass Adoption Of course, many people may not strictly distinguish the connotations of the two. If we were to summarize it in one sentence, cross-chain focuses more on assets and mainly solves the problem of “transfer”; while interoperability covers multiple dimensions such as assets, state, and services, and aims to solve the problem of “collaboration”. In fact, as modular narratives have increased the number and heterogeneity of L1/L2, users and liquidity have been further dispersed. Interoperability has been recognized as a more ideal end-game than cross-chain – users no longer need to be aware of which chain they are on, they only need to submit an intent once, and the system will automatically complete the operation in the most suitable execution environment. With the recent announcement of a new UX roadmap by…

#分析#暗号# 交換# マーケット#トークン#ウェブ3© 版权声明配列 上一篇 ジャスティン・サンはTUSDのグローバルな権利の防衛に成功した。 下一篇 Is Bitcoin poised for a breakout? Three key factors for a December price surge. 相关文章 WealthBee Macro Monthly Report: The first half of 2025 has come to an end. Which main themes will create the new encrypt 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 25,832 2 Bitcoin had a dismal start to November; is it really going to hit 90,000? 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 15,424 1 OKX大学インタビュー | 馮宇氏：ユーザー不足がこのサイクルにおける業界の最大のボトルネック 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 41,100 2 Solana Block Time Changes: Pros and Cons of Validator Delay Strategy and Industry Governance Breakthrough 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 26,239 2 Interview with Suji: Taking Over the Hot Potato Lens, Whose Ideal Is Mask Paying For? 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 7,941 Binance Alpha star GriffinAI suffered a cross-chain hijack: a malicious issuance of 5 billion tokens caused a 99% price 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 19,331 1 コメントはありません コメントを残すにはログインが必要です！ すぐにログイン コメントはありません... 最新記事 Did Jane Street “Manipulate” BTC? Decoding the AP System, Understanding the Power Struggle Behind ETF Creation and Redemption Pricing 16時間前 531 Stop Comparing Bitcoin to Gold—It’s Now a High-Volatility Software Stock 16時間前 646 Matrixport Research: $25 Billion Gamma Unwinding Imminent, Liquidity Yet to Return Behind the Rebound 16時間前 590 ERC-5564: Ethereum’s Stealth Era Has Arrived, Receiving Addresses No Longer ‘Exposed’ 16時間前 522 Hong Kong Regulatory Green Light: Asseto Enables DL Holdings to Achieve Compliance for Two RWA Business Implementations 16時間前 569 人気のウェブサイトTempoLighterGAIBグライダープランクレイリーズBCPoker（ビーシーポーカーヴーイ Bee.com 世界最大の Web3 ポータル パートナー コインカープ バイナンス コインマーケットキャップ CoinGecko コインライブ 鎧 Bee Network APP をダウンロードして、Web3 の旅を始めましょう 白書 役割 よくある質問 © 2021-2026.無断複写・転載を禁じます。. プライバシーポリシー | 利用規約 Bee Networkアプリをダウンロード そしてWeb3の旅を始めましょう 世界最大のWeb3ポータル パートナー CoinCarp Binance CoinMarketCap CoinGecko Coinlive Armors 白書 役割 よくある質問 © 2021-2026.無断複写・転載を禁じます。. プライバシーポリシー | 利用規約 検索 検索インサイトオンチェーン社交ニュース 热门推荐： エアドロップハンター データ分析 クリプトセレブリティ トラップディテクタ 日本語 English 繁體中文 简体中文 Tiếng Việt العربية 한국어 Bahasa Indonesia हिन्दी اردو Русский 日本語

智能索引记录