Image Credit: RTE.ie (ECB HQ)
On July 24, the European Central Bank will announce its latest interest rate decision and give a policy outlook. If President Lagarde speaks cautiously, it will often drive Eurozone investors into the crypto market, especially the Bitcoin /Euro trading volume will increase significantly. If it is not in a hurry to cut interest rates, the strengthening of the euro may suppress the flow of funds into the crypto market. It is recommended to pay attention to the EUR/USD exchange rate and the changes in the on-chain and exchange liquidity of euro-denominated currencies. Bank of Japan meeting (July 30-31) Even a small adjustment to yield curve control could boost the yen and weigh on crypto assets It is recommended to pay attention to the fluctuations of Japanese government bond yields and USD/JPYImage Credit: Reuters (Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda)
The Bank of Japans month-end meeting will focus on whether it adjusts its yield curve control strategy. Even if the 10-year JGB yield is only allowed to rise slightly, the yen may strengthen, putting pressure on crypto assets in the Asian market. It is recommended to pay attention to the linkage changes between the JGB yield and the USD/JPY, which often indicates the trend of BTC Dan ETH during the Tokyo and Hong Kong trading hours. Peoples Bank of China (July 20) If the loan market benchmark rate (LPR) is lowered, new market liquidity may be released Perhatikan the BTC contract trading volume in the Asian market and the order depth of local exchangesImage Credit: Bloomberg (Peoples Bank of China Governor Pan Gongsheng)
Chinas LPR will be announced in mid-July. If there is an unexpected interest rate cut, it will usually stimulate market liquidity inflows, including boosting Bitcoin contract trading on local exchanges. It is recommended to pay attention to the order book depth on the chain and the exchange, as well as the changes in the open interest of the contract, to capture rebound signals. Policy easing is often reflected fastest in the Asia-Pacific market. Key economic data Geopolitical and regulatory matters G20 Finance Ministers Meeting (mid-July) Hosted by South Africa, this G20 focuses on global financial stability and crypto asset regulation. If there is a push for crypto regulation or global consensus on anti-money laundering, it may affect ETH liquidity and stablecoin trading strategies.Image Credit: capetownetc
The suspension period of China-U.S. tariffs expires (around August 1) The 90-day tariff ceasefire agreement between China and the United States will expire in early August. If no extension agreement is reached, it may trigger an increase in market risk aversion, causing the Bitcoin spot order book to thin rapidly and funds to turn to fiat currency or stablecoins for risk aversion.Image Credit: The Detroit News
EU MiCA stablecoin regulations officially come into effect (July) With the full implementation of the EU Crypto-Asset Pasar Regulation (MiCA), stablecoin issuers are required to hold reserves at a 1:1 reserve ratio and obtain regulatory approval. It is expected that the market will shift from non-compliant stablecoins to compliant stablecoins backed by the euro, and on-chain minting and redemption data and exchange liquidity will reflect this change.Image Credit: Yahoo Finance
July economic calendar: week-by-week breakdown Week 1 (July 1–7) – China PMI Japan Tankan: As an early signal of the market, if PMI is better than expected, BTC and Asian concept altcoins may usher in a corrective rebound; if Japans Tankan is weak, the mining sector and related tokens may be under pressure. – US non-farm payrolls: Due to the US Independence Day holiday, the market trading hours are shortened and liquidity is weak, which may lead to sharp price fluctuations. Traders should appropriately expand the stop loss range, or transfer idle funds to stable income products such as XT Earn , and wait for the market to return to normal rhythm.Image Credit: Trading Economics
July begins with the release of Chinas official PMI and Japans Tankan survey, which are often seen as a barometer of business confidence in the Asia-Pacific region and will affect risk appetite in the global market to a certain extent. If Chinas manufacturing PMI is unexpectedly strong, BTC and altcoins highly correlated with the Asian market (such as miner coins and Asian concept tokens) may rebound in the short term; on the contrary, if Japans Tankan survey shows weak confidence in the manufacturing industry, market sentiment will be suppressed, and related tokens and miner sectors may be under downward pressure. In addition, July 4th is the Independence Day in the United States, and the market trading hours are shortened or closed. Historically, the liquidity of the crypto market often drops significantly during this period, and price fluctuations are often amplified. For traders, it is recommended to increase the stop loss range of BTC spot positions during this period, or transfer idle funds to stable income products such as XT Earn , and wait for the market to return to normal rhythm before re-entering the market. Week 2 (July 8–14) – Chinas inflation UK GDP: If Chinas CPI is lower than expected, it is expected to stimulate market risk appetite and push up ETH ; if UK GDP unexpectedly falls, it may temporarily suppress BTC , but it may also bring opportunities for bargain hunting.Image Credit: Trading Economics
China will release June CPI data earlier this week. If inflation continues to be weak, it will strengthen the expectation of global interest rate cuts, which will help risky assets (such as Ethereum ) to return to a staged high. Soon after, the UK will release the initial GDP value for June. If there is an unexpected negative growth, although it will disturb the market in the short term, it may also provide BTC with an opportunity to buy on dips. Week 3 (July 15–21) US CPI China Q2 GDP: Two major data often trigger violent fluctuations. If US CPI is higher than expected, it will trigger short-term profit-taking of BTC ; if Chinas GDP is impressive or the central bank releases a signal of interest rate cuts, the Asian trading session is expected to provide support. Chinas LPR: If it is adjusted downward, it will be conducive to the release of liquidity, and the mining concept and altcoins may usher in short-term rotation opportunities.Image Credit: Trading Economics ( China GDP Growth US Core CPI )
This week will see the release of two important macro data: US CPI and Chinas second quarter GDP. If US inflation rises beyond expectations, it will push up US bond yields and the US dollar index, leading to short-term profit-taking in Bitcoin ; on the contrary, if Chinas GDP performs strongly or the Peoples Bank of China releases a signal of a LPR interest rate cut, market liquidity will pick up, and mining tokens and small-cap altcoins may attract capital rotation. It is recommended to focus on the market performance during the Asian trading session, which often reacts to good news first. Week 4 (July 22–28) ECB meeting preparation German ZEW index: The market generally expects a pause in interest rate hikes in July. If Lagarde releases dovish remarks, the euro will rise against crypto assets; ZEW reflects the eurozones macro expectations in advance. G20 MiCA takes effect: If the G20 expresses a positive attitude towards crypto regulation, Ethereum liquidity will be released; after MiCA is officially implemented, the market will flow from non-compliant stablecoins to compliant stablecoins backed by the euro, and the arbitrage space may be temporarily narrowed.Image Credit: The Globe and Mail
On July 24, the European Central Bank will hold a monetary policy meeting. The market generally expects that it will stand still, so Lagardes speaking style is crucial. If her tone is mild, the market may interpret it as continued easing, which will help boost the trading volume of euro-denominated cryptocurrencies; on the contrary, if she is cautious, trading enthusiasm may be limited. Germanys ZEW economic sentiment index will also be released this week, providing a short-term basis for European economy. At the same time, the G20 Finance Ministers Meeting and the EU MiCA stablecoin regulation officially took effect also brought policy-level attention this week. If the G20 sends a positive signal in terms of crypto asset regulation, ETH liquidity may be released; after MiCA takes effect, a large amount of USDT or USDC funds are expected to flow into compliant euro stablecoins, and the minting/destruction data and on-chain flow of stablecoins will be the focus of observation. Week 5 (July 29–31) FOMC Decision Powell Speech: The most influential events of the month. If the market maintains stability and releases a dovish attitude, BTC Dan ETH will usually rise rapidly, with the spot market leading the rise. US Q2 GDP Bank of Japan meeting: Two major data released on the same day are likely to cause violent fluctuations. It is recommended to appropriately reduce leverage, or adopt strategies such as futures arbitrage to control risks, while participating in the market and reducing the impact of violent reversals.Image Credit: Trading Economics
The end of July will usher in the most influential event combination of the month: the Federal Reserve interest rate decision + Powell press conference. If the Federal Reserve maintains the current interest rate unchanged and releases expectations of future interest rate cuts, BTC Dan ETH will usually rebound quickly, especially in the spot market. On July 31, the US second quarter GDP data and the Bank of Japan’s interest rate decision will be released. Such a high density of important macro events may trigger drastic market fluctuations. To control risks, traders are advised to reduce leverage reasonably or adopt low-risk strategies such as contract cross-period arbitrage, which can not only participate in market fluctuations but also avoid capital losses caused by sudden reversals. How to trade in July? A practical guide for traders It is safer to plan ahead and build positions in batches Before the release of key data such as CPI or FOMC, it is not recommended to enter the market with a large position all at once. You can choose to build BTC Dan ETH positions in batches to spread the entry cost and avoid concentrated risks under high volatility. At the same time, reduce leverage to prevent market fluctuations from causing liquidation in an instant. On the event day: Bidirectional orders to deal with uncertainty If you expect a big move in the market but are unsure of the direction, you can use the futures straddle strategy: Place a buy stop order above a significant resistance level; Place a sell stop order below a key support level; Use One-Cancels-the-Other (OCO) logic to avoid simultaneous transactions. No matter which side the market breaks through, you can enter the market and lock in the opportunities brought by the fluctuations at the first time. Linked Observation: Is Bitcoin “decoupling”? Observe the relationship between Bitcoin and traditional assets (such as US stocks and gold): If BTC rises and US stocks are weak, it means that the market has a safe-haven demand for it; If BTC outperforms gold, it will further strengthen the “digital gold” narrative. After the data is landed: the key to judging true and false breakthroughs is trading volume Dont rush to chase high prices. Wait until the market calms down and observe the trading volume: High Volume + Breakout = Trend Likely to Continue Low volume + breakout = easy pullback Combining the Fibonacci retracement tool can also help determine whether there is an ideal second entry point after a pullback (such as a 61.8% technical retracement after CPI rises). Don’t ignore the staking strategy If you are participating in BTC staking atau ETH staking , remember to pay close attention to the changes in the annualized rate of return (APY). Market fluctuations may cause the staking income to decline. At this time, you can consider temporary redemption and transfer to a spot account or a product with better returns. Risk Management Common Misconceptions Beware of false breakouts: The release of major data often results in a pattern of rumors driving up prices, while announcements driving down prices. Dont chase every big positive candle, and wait until the price closes firmly above the target level before adding to your position. Be aware of flash crash risks: Breaking news may trigger violent fluctuations, especially for small-cap altcoins, which are more likely to be liquidated. Consider suspending trading after the event is released and wait and see how the market reacts. Slippage and spreads: During holidays or before and after policy releases, the market depth becomes shallower and large BTC / ETH orders may experience severe slippage. It is recommended to split large orders or execute large trades through OTC counters. Stablecoin liquidity bottleneck: As new stablecoin regulations come into effect, redemptions of USDT, USDC, etc. may become slower. It is recommended to reserve some liquidity in non-algorithmic stablecoins or fiat currency areas to facilitate quick position adjustments when liquidity is tight. July Economic Calendar FAQs Q: What are the most critical dates in July? A: July 3 (US non-farm payrolls), July 15 (US CPI + China GDP), July 24 (ECB meeting), and July 29-30 (Federal Reserve decision + Powell press conference) are the time windows with the greatest market volatility. Q: How to prepare in advance? A: It is recommended to start arranging BTC Dan ETH positions in batches a few days in advance to avoid concentrated positions. Appropriately reduce leverage to prevent excessive risks caused by market gaps when data is released. Q:What should I do on the day when the data is released? A: You can use the two-way stop order strategy: set buy stop and sell stop orders at key positions, and use the OCO function to automatically cancel the unfulfilled direction. This way you can catch the market without having to predict the direction. Q: How to judge whether a breakthrough is true or false? A: The key is to look at the trading volume. A true trend is often accompanied by a large number of transactions. If the volume breaks through, it is more credible; a low volume rise is usually difficult to sustain. Q: How does the staking strategy cope with volatility? A: When the market fluctuates violently, the annualized rate of return on staking may change. Remember to pay attention to the platform APY changes, adjust the staking position if necessary, and transfer funds to more attractive income channels, such as short-term spot trading or XT Earn products. This article is sourced from the internet: July’s Big Economic Events at a Glance: A Key Timeline for Crypto Traders Related: Aethir data analysis report: A glimpse into the present and future of the DePIN track Original author: Yue Xiaoyu (X : @yuexiaoyu111 ) I have talked about Aethir, the leading project in the decentralized computing power track, many times. It is a project I focus on. Aethir鈥檚 recently launched Eigen ATH Vault allows community users to participate in revenue sharing on its decentralized GPU network by staking ATH tokens. This time, lets analyze this project from a data perspective to help you analyze whether this project is worth participating in. @AethirCloud @AethirMandarin 1. Aethir鈥檚 core data analysis According to information disclosed by Token Terminal, Aethirs cumulative expenses have reached US$55 million, and its annualized revenue is approximately US$110 million. This revenue level is impressive in the decentralized physical infrastructure network (DePIN) field. In comparison, competitors like Render Network only have annual revenue of about $40… Analisis ## bitcoin# kriptoDefinisi ## ethereumPertukaran #Panduan #Pasar ## TandaAlat #© 版权声明Array 上一篇 Ethereum Community Foundation (ECF) established, with a target of $10,000? 下一篇 The birth of “physical BTC”: a 13-year investment miracle of 20,000 times return 相关文章 Odaily Exclusive Interview with ETH Treasury Company Bit Digital: How to Become the Only Leveraged Ethereum Player? 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 16,239 Europe’s First Web3 Stock Lists on Nasdaq: CoinShares’ Valuation Puzzle and Expansion Ambition 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 22,080 RWA Weekly Report | RWA Asset Holders Add Over 20,000 in a Single Week; Bitwise to Launch Solana Staking ETF BSOL Today 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 16,614 1 When Arthur Hayes suddenly praises the coin you bought, you should be careful 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 28,002 2 BitMEX Launches Stock Perpetual Contracts, Enabling 7×24 Stock Trading 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 10,816 2 AI Prediction Record: Want to Make Money in Prediction Markets with AI? But It Might Not Even Read the Question Properly 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 11,188 Tidak ada komentar Anda harus login untuk meninggalkan komentar! Segera masuk Tidak ada komentar... Bee.com Portal Web3 terbesar di dunia Mitra KoinCarp binance KoinMarketCap KoinGecko hidup koin Armor Unduh Aplikasi Bee Network dan mulai perjalanan web3 Kertas putih Peran Pertanyaan Umum © 2021-2026. Semua Hak Cipta Dilindungi Undang-Undang. Kebijakan pribadi | Ketentuan Layanan Unduh Aplikasi Jaringan Lebah dan memulai perjalanan web3 Portal Web3 terbesar di dunia Mitra CoinCarp Binance CoinMarketCap CoinGecko Coinlive Armors Kertas putih Peran Pertanyaan Umum © 2021-2026. Semua Hak Cipta Dilindungi Undang-Undang. Kebijakan pribadi | Ketentuan Layanan Mencari MencariDi dalam SitusDi RantaiSosialBerita 热门推荐: Pemburu Airdrop Analisis data Selebriti Kripto Detektor Perangkap Bahasa Indonesia English 繁體中文 简体中文 日本語 Tiếng Việt العربية 한국어 हिन्दी اردو Русский Bahasa Indonesia智能索引记录
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