温馨提示：本站仅提供公开网络链接索引服务，不存储、不篡改任何第三方内容，所有内容版权归原作者所有
AI智能索引来源：http://www.bee.com/hi/61598.html
点击访问原文链接

Bitcoin surges on expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut: Can the cryptocurrency rally continue? | Bee Network

进入原网站 导航首页
Bitcoin surges on expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut: Can the cryptocurrency rally continue? | Bee Network Login ट्रेंडिंग न्यूज़ मीम लॉन्चपैड एआई एजेंट डेस्सी टॉपचेनएक्सप्लोरर न्यूबी के लिए 100x सिक्के मधुमक्खी खेल आवश्यक वेबसाइटें एपीपी अवश्य होना चाहिए क्रिप्टो हस्तियाँ डेपिन नौसिखिया आवश्यक ट्रैप डिटेक्टर बुनियादी उपकरण उन्नत वेबसाइटें एक्सचेंजों एनएफटी उपकरण नमस्ते, साइन आउट वेब3 यूनिवर्स खेल डीऐप मधुमुखी का छत्ता बढ़ता हुआ मंच विज्ञापन खोज अंग्रेज़ी रिचार्ज सिक्के लॉग इन करें डाउनलोड करना वेब3 यूनी खेल डीऐप मधुमुखी का छत्ता विज्ञापन घर•विश्लेषण•मुख्य पाठ Bitcoin surges on expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut: Can the cryptocurrency rally continue?विश्लेषण3 महीने पहलेहाँव्याट 15,631 6 The Federal Reserve’s Beige Book: The economy is stable but the cracks are widening. Employment, once the strongest pillar of the economic recovery, is now showing signs of cooling. Businesses report slower hiring, easing wage pressures, and a greater reliance on natural attrition rather than voluntary layoffs—a subtle but significant shift. Meanwhile, inflation remains…moderate but persistent price increases, though rising input costs are still being reflected in prices.

The Beige Book also highlighted a particular complication: the collection of federal economic data was interrupted due to the government shutdown that lasted until November 12. As a result, policymakers will not have access to complete labor market and inflation data for October and November at the December Federal Open बाज़ार Committee (FOMC) meeting, underscoring the importance of feedback from the real business environment, such as in these reports.

Despite a generally neutral tone, many businesses hinted that future growth momentum might slow. Manufacturers were slightly more optimistic than retailers, but the overall economic outlook was described as stable but with a risk of softening—a sentiment increasingly aligned with growing expectations of a policy shift.

JPMorgan Chase changes its interest rate cut timing strategy It’s worth noting that the Beige Book wasn’t the only signal reshaping market expectations. This week, JPMorgan economists changed their view on the timing of Federal Reserve policy, now predicting… a rate cut in December—a stark contrast to a week ago when they expected the first action to occur in January.

This shift stemmed from a series of dovish comments from several key Federal Reserve officials, particularly New York Fed President John Williams. Williams’ remarks suggested that a rate cut “in the near term” would not conflict with the Fed’s inflation target. This change in tone was enough to prompt Chief Economist Michael Feroli and his team to adjust their forecasts.

The bank stated that the most likely path is a 25 basis point rate cut in December, followed by another cut in early January; however, they emphasized that uncertainty remains high until the next FOMC decision.

This shift highlights the rapid change in sentiment among policymakers and their interpreters. Just days earlier, stronger-than-expected September labor market data fueled market expectations that policy responses would be delayed. However, with economic weakness intensifying and inflationary pressures continuing to ease, the current trend has shifted towards implementing easing policies sooner rather than later.

Bitcoin’s reaction: A test of sentiment and liquidity Against this policy backdrop, Bitcoin has once again become a bellwether for real-time market sentiment. Over the past few days, Bitcoin volatility has intensified, initially pulling back in tandem with overall risk assets, before gradually recovering as market expectations for a December rate cut intensified.

Historically, Bitcoin has typically reacted positively to declining interest rate expectations, as lower borrowing costs and a weaker dollar tend to drive inflows into high-beta assets. However, this time, Bitcoin’s reaction has been more cautious. Price action suggests that traders are closely monitoring changes in the macroeconomic landscape, but they are also waiting for concrete news rather than reacting purely out of speculation.

Some hesitation may reflect incomplete economic data resulting from the government shutdown. Given that the Federal Reserve itself also lacks some information on inflation and the labor market, the market appears cautious about a policy shift until the situation becomes clearer.

However, this trend is noteworthy: Bitcoin has been supported whenever the likelihood of a December rate cut increases—further solidifying its role as a barometer of liquidity expectations.

आगे क्या होगा? With the market digesting the contents of the Beige Book and JPMorgan’s revised forecasts, attention has now completely shifted to… the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision in mid-December. Since there is no complete inflation or employment data available before then, the Fed’s communications in the coming days will play a crucial role in guiding market expectations.

If policymakers continue to signal accommodative monetary policy and financial conditions tighten further, the likelihood of a December rate cut will increase. However, if new data or statements indicate that market concerns about sticky inflation persist, the Federal Reserve may still wait until January to cut rates.

Looking to the future If my expectations for a December rate cut are confirmed, the next phase for the क्रिप्टोcurrency market is unlikely to be a sudden vertical reversal, but rather a structural transition. Since early October, digital asset trading has been defensive, with Bitcoin’s price falling from a cyclical high to just over $80,000 before rebounding to around $90,000 as market sentiment shifted. This rebound reflects an important message: the market is not reacting to the current economic situation, but rather to the potential impact of cheaper capital a few months from now.

Historically, the first interest rate cut typically signals a shift in policy and institutional dynamics, but this doesn’t necessarily mean an immediate market surge. Traders usually shift from caution to selective position building, only resuming their full risk appetite once liquidity recovers. In this environment, Bitcoin often leads the way, becoming one of the first beneficiaries of the easing financial conditions. Funds then gradually shift to Ethereum, mainstream secondary exchanges, industry hotspots like artificial intelligence or RWA, and ultimately flow into high-beta speculative tokens. The recent hesitation of altcoins also confirms this pattern—investors need confirmation, not just speculation.

Several macroeconomic signals will determine the strength and speed of the next upward move: the direction of the US dollar index, inflows into cryptocurrency ETFs and institutional products, and whether stablecoin supply begins to expand again after months of stagnation. If these indicators coincide with a confirmed interest rate cut, the market may transition from a stabilization phase to a new upward phase, driven not by speculation but by capital flows.

The recent rebound in Bitcoin prices suggests that investors are cautiously preparing for a more accommodative policy environment, but are still awaiting greater clarity. The next key juncture will arrive in mid-December, when the Federal Reserve will formally announce its policy decision. Until then, the market is trading not just numbers, but also expectations. And for the first time in months, these expectations are leaning towards easing rather than tightening.

यह लेख इंटरनेट से लिया गया है: Bitcoin surges on expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut: Can the cryptocurrency rally continue?Recommended Articles

Related: One-week token unlock: ENA will unlock approximately 3.1% of its circulating supply. Ethena Project Twitter: https://x.com/ethena_labs Project website: https://www.ethena.fi/ Number of tokens unlocked this time: 210 million Unlocked amount: Approximately US$83.98 million Ethena Labs’ algorithmic stablecoin USDe currently relies on BTC, stETH, and their inherent yields as collateral. It simultaneously creates short positions in both Bitcoin and ETH to balance the Delta and utilizes perpetual/futures funding rates to maintain the peg and provide yield. Essentially, it uses spot profits to hedge against a 100% loss on short positions, achieving balance while still allowing users to earn ETH staking rewards and short position funding rates. The specific release curve is as follows: Space and Time Project Twitter: https://x.com/SpaceandTimeDB Project website: https://www.spaceandtime.io/ Number of tokens unlocked this time: 24.72 million Unlocked amount: Approximately US$1.31 million Space and Time is a decentralized data warehouse and…

# विश्लेषण# बिटकॉइन# क्रिप्टो# इथेरियम# एक्सचेंज# मार्केट# टोकन© 版权声明सरणी 上一篇 Why are all the top projects betting on "participation in financialization"? 下一篇 S&P gave Tether the worst rating; which other stablecoins would it approve of? 相关文章 “Painting the door” twice a day: In a hellish market, some people can still make $5 million 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 18,790 Funding Rates Finally Become a Tradable Asset: How Will Pendle’s Sub-Platform Boros Disrupt the Arbitrage Market?Recomme 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 27,123 2 Linea reflects after its opening: “Luma” is not dead, but the thinking needs to change 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 20,065 A true “alt season” is unfolding in the crypto stock market 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 18,974 2 Reflections after October 11th: How do exchanges balance “relative fairness” and “absolute transparency”? 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 19,453 1 Will Coinbase’s opening of its IPOs to retail investors across the US bring fresh capital to the market? 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 17,161 कोई टिप्पणी नहीं टिप्पणी करने के लिए आपको लॉगिन होना होगा! तुरंत लॉगइन करें कोई टिप्पणी नहीं... Bee.com दुनिया का सबसे बड़ा Web3 पोर्टल भागीदारों कॉइनकार्प बिनेंस कॉइनमार्केटकैप कॉइनगेको कॉइनलाइव कवच बी नेटवर्क ऐप डाउनलोड करें और वेब3 यात्रा शुरू करें सफेद कागज भूमिकाएँ सामान्य प्रश्न © 2021-2026. सर्वाधिकार सुरक्षित।. गोपनीयता नीति | सेवाओं की शर्तें बी नेटवर्क ऐप डाउनलोड करें और वेब3 यात्रा शुरू करें दुनिया का सबसे बड़ा Web3 पोर्टल भागीदारों CoinCarp Binance CoinMarketCap CoinGecko Coinlive Armors सफेद कागज भूमिकाएँ सामान्य प्रश्न © 2021-2026. सर्वाधिकार सुरक्षित।. गोपनीयता नीति | सेवाओं की शर्तें खोज खोजइनसाइटऑनचेनसामाजिकसमाचार उत्तर: एयरड्रॉप शिकारी डेटा विश्लेषण क्रिप्टो हस्तियाँ ट्रैप डिटेक्टर हिन्दी English 繁體中文 简体中文 日本語 Tiếng Việt العربية 한국어 Bahasa Indonesia اردو Русский हिन्दी

智能索引记录