Crypto October 2025 Guide: Easily Understand Market TrendsRecommended Articles | Bee Network
Reference indicators: Bitcoin spot ETF net inflows और Ethereum spot ETF net inflows (Source: SoSoValue)
Funding Rate and Futures Basis – A positive funding rate indicates that longs are paying shorts to maintain their positions, indicating a bullish market. However, if the market stagnates, longs may be squeezed out. – Rising quarterly contract basis : This indicates strong bullish market sentiment and the participation of profit-taking. A moderate increase in basis is healthy, but an excessive increase can attract arbitrage funds and suppress prices.Reference Indicator: Crypto Contract Funding Rate (Source: XT.com)
Quick judgment of open interest – OI rises as prices rise : This indicates that new funds are driving the trend, which is a normal characteristic of a rising market. – OI rises but price moves sideways : This suggests the market is preparing for a breakout, but the direction is uncertain. However, once a breakthrough occurs, the volatility will be amplified.Reference indicators: BTC and ETH open interest and trading volume (Source: Coinglass)
15-Second Daily Routine 1. Check ETF fund flows once a day. 2. Quickly browse the funding rates of major currency pairs. 3. If you are involved in a contract, take a look at the open interest . 4. Write a sentence in your notes, such as: “Money is flowing in, prices are rising, the trend is healthy.” or “Money is flowing out, prices are sideways, remain cautious.” Sticking to these few actions every day is more effective than watching the market all day. 3) Crypto Market Catalysts at a Glance: टोकन Unlocks, TGEs, and Hot Rising Stars When locked tokens begin to unlock, the circulating supply in the market increases, which in turn creates selling pressure. However, not all unlocking is cause for concern. A. Token Unlocks — Just look at two numbers Newbies only need to focus on two core indicators: 1. Unlocked Amount (USD) — Regardless of the unlocked amount , a $50 million unlock will have a greater market impact than a $1 million unlock. 2. Unlocked shares as a percentage of the total supply – If only half of the supply is in circulation and 5% is released at once, the pressure will be much greater than if “5% of the total supply” is released. Another thing to figure out is: Who gets these tokens? The shares obtained by the team and early investors tend to be sold faster. For community or ecological incentive distribution, the selling pressure will be smoother because the holders are dispersed. Major unlocking events worth noting this month: Linea (LINEA) : Approximately 1.08 billion tokens (approximately $29 million, accounting for approximately 6–7% of the circulating supply) were unlocked on October 10. Aptos (APT) : Approximately 11.31 million tokens (approximately US$59 million) were unlocked on October 11 and distributed to the team, investors and community. Aethir (ATH) : 1.26 billion (approximately over 70 million US dollars) were unlocked on October 12, which is a large amount of cliff unlocking. BounceBit (BB) : 44.7 million tokens (approximately US$8-10 million) were unlocked on October 12. The volume is relatively small, but it is still worth noting because it is listed on an exchange. Starknet (STRK) : 127 million tokens (approximately US$20 million) were unlocked on October 15, which is a monthly linear release. Babylon (BABY) : Unlocked 321 million tokens , accounting for about 24.7% of the released amount. This is a large scale and requires caution.Reference source: October token unlock (Source: Tokenomist)
B. New Products and TGEs (Token Generation Events) — Catalysts for Self-Driven Momentum New project launches or TGEs often attract significant initial attention if they offer real products, exchange support, or ecosystem endorsements. However, this hype fades quickly. Focus on the following four key points: 1. Initial circulation ratio – Projects with too small a circulation ratio are prone to being hyped up and then falling back. 2. Unlocking and vesting rhythm – Large cliff unlocking may cause selling pressure in the later stage. 3. Listing Platform — First-tier exchanges (with deep liquidity) are better than smaller platforms. 4. Project narrative and implementation — Projects with real use cases or partners are more likely to see sustainable growth. This month’s highlight projects: – Meteora (MET) : A TGE will be held on Solana on October 23rd, initially unlocking approximately 48% of the circulating tokens, with the remainder to be released linearly over the next 6 years .Go to: Meteora (MET) Official X Channel
C. Rising Stars — Look for popularity, but also set up safeguards These projects have seen an increase in trading volume or narrative heat, so you can put them on your watchlist, but don’t blindly chase them. 5 “Guardrail Questions” Before Operation: 1. What is the catalyst? (Launch, update, collaboration, news?) 2. Does trading volume appear consistently across multiple major exchanges? 3. How thick is the 1% depth of the main trading pairs? 4. Will there be any large unlocks in the next 7–21 days? 5. Have you set a stop-loss or exit plan? 4) Three market trends and response strategies for October You don’t need a crystal ball, just a simple ” if this, then that ” framework. Below are three possible scenarios commonly used by traders and the actions a novice trader can take in each case. October Market Scenario Matrix Risk Response Gadget Here are some potential landmines to watch out for in October: – If the CPI on October 15 is higher than expected , it may trigger market panic. – If oil prices suddenly break through $70 per barrel , inflation expectations will be reignited. – If ETFs experience consecutive net outflows after record inflows ($5.9 billion in the week ending October 4) , it indicates that institutional sentiment is cooling. – Major protocols experiencing hacker attacks or large-scale token unlocking may trigger short-term selling pressure. – Geopolitical shocks (such as war or escalating sanctions) could push up energy prices and exacerbate liquidity risks. One-Minute Response Plan – If data continues to weaken: Buy on dips in batches, maintaining a core position in BTC/ETH. – If inflation unexpectedly strengthens: Reduce leverage and only trade highly liquid assets like BTC/ETH. – If the Fed turns more dovish: Hold positions with the trend, but take profits in batches during sharp rises. Let these rules replace your guesswork. The market moves quickly, and a clear plan is your best advantage . 5) Your October Playbook: Operations, Reminders, and Execution Here’s the real action— six simple steps : 1. Set reminders. Set reminders for the three key dates mentioned in Section 1 (employment data, CPI, and Federal Reserve meeting). Ideally, set reminders 15 minutes before the release date and once upon release. 2. Trade highly liquid currency pairs. Consider reducing your position on the day of important data releases, as market depth can be significantly thinner in the minutes leading up to the release. 3. Set a stop-loss before entering a trade. Write down your stop-loss price before entering a trade, and execute it if it’s broken. You can record it in your trading journal or on a chart, and stick to it. 4. Spend 15 seconds every day monitoring fund flows. If fund flows are consistent with the trend, the market is healthy. If prices are rising but fund flows are weakening, start tightening your risk profile. 5. Pay attention to the unlocking time of your holdings. If the unlocking amount (in USD) is large or represents a high percentage of the circulating supply, it is recommended to reduce your holdings while the market is strong before the unlocking, or hedge your risk with perpetual contracts. 6. Maintain a light position. Survive first, then profit. It’s better to earn less than be wiped out by volatility. If you’re unsure, hold onto BTC and ETH. Let the market calendar and capital flows मार्गदर्शक you, not the fear of missing out. A steady pace is more reliable than any “inside tip.” Finally, remember You don’t need to trade every day, nor do you need to catch every market trend. All you really need is: – Several clear dates – Two or three key indicators – A plan you can follow In this way, the market in October can become controllable and rhythmic. Log in to your XT account now, set three reminders for employment data, CPI, and Federal Reserve decision, and print the list and plan above. As long as you maintain a relaxed pace and simple rules, you can easily cope with this “Uptober” instead of being led by market sentiment. About XT.COM Founded in 2018, एक्सटी.कॉम currently has over 7.8 million registered users, over 1 million monthly active users, and over 40 million users within its ecosystem. We are a comprehensive trading platform supporting over 1,000 high-quality cryptocurrencies and over 1,300 trading pairs. The XT.COM cryptocurrency trading platform offers a wide range of trading options, including spot trading , leveraged trading , और futures trading . XT.COM also operates a secure and reliable NFT trading platform . We are committed to providing users with the safest, most efficient, and most professional digital asset investment services. यह लेख इंटरनेट से लिया गया है: Crypto October 2025 Guide: Easily Understand Market TrendsRecommended Articles Related: Odaily Exclusive Interview with Moonbirds Head Spencer: From World-Class Fencer to NFT Revivalist Author|jk Odaily recently conducted an exclusive interview with Spencer, the current head of Moonbirds, to delve into this legendary figure’s journey from fencer to NFT investor to NFT brand revivalist. Spencer was not only once one of the largest holders of Pudgy Penguins, but was also chosen to take over Moonbirds from Yuga Labs and lead its revival. In this in-depth conversation, he shared his unique insights into the NFT market, Moonbirds’ future vision, and how to identify undervalued opportunities in a bear market. During the interview, I was most impressed by Spencer’s quick-witted insights and responsiveness, each of which was imbued with a wealth of alpha perspective. His depth of understanding of product strategy was impressive, encompassing everything from the technological innovation cycle to the evolving value of IP,… # विश्लेषण# बिटकॉइन# क्रिप्टो# इथेरियम# एक्सचेंज# गाइड# मार्केट# टोकन© 版权声明सरणी 上一篇 Analyzing the details of Flying Tulip's $1 billion "reversible financing" operation: How can retail investors participat 下一篇 Weekly Funding Update | 7 Projects Received Funding, Total Funding Reaching $81.4 Million (September 29-October 5)Recomm 相关文章 Double Whammy: Yen Exchange Rate Volatility + Potential Government Shutdown, Where is the Bottom of the Crypto Market? 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 7,883 विकेंद्रीकृत वित्त का पुनर्जागरण: DeFi को फिर से महान बनाना 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 37,024 2 A sober reflection on the Hong Kong stock market’s RWA boom: breaking down the 3 million yuan starting cost and the thre 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 22,376 1 Tom Lee’s Ethereum Meme: BOOE’s Religious Narrative InterpretationRecommended Articles 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 23,555 1 AI is booming again, Actual creates a personalized DeFAI assistant 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 39,191 1 Looking for the next UNI? 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