温馨提示：本站仅提供公开网络链接索引服务，不存储、不篡改任何第三方内容，所有内容版权归原作者所有
AI智能索引来源：http://www.bee.com/hi/53483.html
点击访问原文链接

BTC Volatility Weekly Review (June 30 – July 7) | Bee Network

进入原网站 导航首页
BTC Volatility Weekly Review (June 30 – July 7) | Bee Network July 7, 4pm Hong Kong time) BTC/USD rose 1.1% ($107.6k -> $108.8k), ETH/USD rose 4% ($2,480 -> $2,580) The price of the coin continues to hover below i..." /> July 7, 4pm Hong Kong time) BTC/USD rose 1.1% ($107.6k -> $108.8k), ETH/USD rose 4% ($2,480 -> $2,580) The price of the coin continues to hover below i..."> Login ट्रेंडिंग न्यूज़ मीम लॉन्चपैड एआई एजेंट डेस्सी टॉपचेनएक्सप्लोरर न्यूबी के लिए 100x सिक्के मधुमक्खी खेल आवश्यक वेबसाइटें एपीपी अवश्य होना चाहिए क्रिप्टो हस्तियाँ डेपिन नौसिखिया आवश्यक ट्रैप डिटेक्टर बुनियादी उपकरण उन्नत वेबसाइटें एक्सचेंजों एनएफटी उपकरण नमस्ते, साइन आउट वेब3 यूनिवर्स खेल डीऐप मधुमुखी का छत्ता बढ़ता हुआ मंच विज्ञापन खोज अंग्रेज़ी रिचार्ज सिक्के लॉग इन करें डाउनलोड करना वेब3 यूनी खेल डीऐप मधुमुखी का छत्ता विज्ञापन घर•विश्लेषण•मुख्य पाठ BTC Volatility Weekly Review (June 30 – July 7)विश्लेषण8महीना पहलेहाँव्याट 27,1281 32

Key indicators: (June 30, 4pm -> July 7, 4pm Hong Kong time) BTC/USD rose 1.1% ($107.6k -> $108.8k), ETH/USD rose 4% ($2,480 -> $2,580)

The price of the coin continues to hover below its all-time high, and each attempt to break through immediately encounters strong resistance. We expect the market to break through the all-time high in the coming weeks, but there is still a certain risk of falling back below $100k. If we fail to break through, we may see the price of the coin continue to correct downward to $93-94k, but it still does not affect our long-term bullish view. If we successfully break through $113k, it may quickly rise to $120k and finally $125-135k.

बाज़ार विषय With the US holiday season and summer break in full swing, we had another quiet week. US non-farm payrolls were surprisingly strong again, dampening hopes of an early rate cut in July and the possibility of a stronger risk appetite in the summer. Concerns about the July 9 tariff deadline led to a brief pullback in risk assets in a low liquidity environment ahead of the weekend, but overall it felt like the market was not heavily positioned or leveraged.

Risk sentiment returned to the क्रिप्टोcurrency market at the beginning of last week. Bitcoin briefly touched over $110k, but we ultimately stalled just short of our all-time high. Bitcoin fell along with the US stock market as US economic data broke expectations of an early rate cut, and concerns about tariffs also caused the price to fall back to $108k. Locally, the correlation between Bitcoin and US stocks/other risk assets remains high, but it feels like the market is still waiting for a real catalyst to push the price up to a new all-time high – the US Congress pre-announced July 14 as Crypto week, and will push crypto-related bills (mainly involving stablecoins) that week. Perhaps this will be the trigger for the market to gain enough momentum to break through the high point.

BTC ATM Implied Volatility

Realized volatility was pretty low last week, another week below 30 pips (including two weekend days with almost 0 realized volatility). The price is still comfortably in the $105-115k range, and near-term catalysts are almost nowhere to be found. However, such low implied volatility is now starting to attract buyers for low-priced options (buy below to protect long spot positions, or buy call spreads above to extend the bullish leverage to prepare for an eventual breakout) – these trades are currently holding up the bottom of implied volatility well.

The current term structure is not steep (compared to historical levels), and the market has fully harvested the remaining term premium. Considering the characteristics of Bitcoin, it is easy to return to the high volatility range when the price breaks out of the range. Having long Vega on the long term and selling short term as funding (steep short-term curve, fast decline in term) looks like a very attractive position.

BTC Skewness/Kurtosis

The skewness moved sharply downwards before the weekend, as the market was worried about the additional negative impact of Trumps tariff news, and the failure of the upward breakthrough of $110k led to a downward spike. The skewness tilted downwards due to the demand for hedging downside risks and the low volatility. In the absence of further declines over the weekend, the skewness recovered quickly. At the same time, the demand in the long-term market was only above the coin price, so the forward skewness was more stable.

Kurtosis has increased over the last week as local implied volatility continues to fall and the market has started to buy points outside the price range to capture price breakout opportunities. However, at the far end of the term, kurtosis is still at a low level, and there is still an opportunity to buy kurtosis in preparation for price breakouts and volatility patterns returning to high levels.

Good luck to everyone this week!

You can use the SignalPlus trading indicator function for free at t.signalplus.com/crypto-news/all, which integrates market information through AI and makes market sentiment clear at a glance.
If you want to receive our updates in real time, please follow our Twitter account @SignalPlusCN, or join our WeChat group (add the assistant WeChat, please delete the space between the English and the number: SignalPlus 666), Telegram group and Discord community to communicate and interact with more friends.

सिग्नलप्लस आधिकारिक वेबसाइट: https://www.signalplus.com

This article is sourced from the internet: BTC Volatility Weekly Review (June 30 – July 7)

Related: Financing Express of the Week | 14 projects received investment, with a total disclosed financing amount of approximatel According to incomplete statistics from Odaily Planet Daily, a total of 14 financing events were disclosed in the global blockchain field from June 9 to June 15, a slight increase from 13 in the previous week; the total financing amount was approximately US$195 million, slightly lower than the US$228 million in the previous week. The highlight of this round of financing is that the CeFi track continues to be hot, and most of the projects that received investment are still concentrated in the centralized direction. Among them, Web3 security startup Hypernative received the highest single financing this week, completing a $40 million Series B financing; followed closely by AI infrastructure platform Yupp, which announced the completion of a $33 million seed round of financing. The following are specific financing events…

# विश्लेषण# बिटकॉइन# क्रिप्टो# मार्केट© 版权声明सरणी 上一篇 Ten core reasons to be bullish on Ethereum 下一篇 The battle for on-chain finance: Who will design the new order? 相关文章 Crypto fever in the US stock market is escalating, and the “copycat Summer” market is about to explode 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 24,751 6 सप्ताह की वित्तपोषण एक्सप्रेस | 14 परियोजनाओं को निवेश प्राप्त हुआ, कुल घोषित वित्तपोषण राशि लगभग 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 28,180 Bitcoin mortgage, a new $6.6 trillion blue ocean 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 27,054 5 What’s different about Solana Mobile’s second phone, Seeker?Recommended Articles 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 29,472 4 Spot ETF will be launched as early as July. Can Solana replicate the BTC-style surge? 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 28,368 5 November 2025 Market Outlook: From FOMC to x402 Agreement, a Comprehensive Analysis of Global Hot Topics 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 16,292 1 टिप्पणियाँ टिप्पणी करने के लिए आपको लॉगिन होना होगा! तुरंत लॉगइन करें Muráň अतिथि 拜拜拜拜

3 महीने पहले Bee.com दुनिया का सबसे बड़ा Web3 पोर्टल भागीदारों कॉइनकार्प बिनेंस कॉइनमार्केटकैप कॉइनगेको कॉइनलाइव कवच बी नेटवर्क ऐप डाउनलोड करें और वेब3 यात्रा शुरू करें सफेद कागज भूमिकाएँ सामान्य प्रश्न © 2021-2026. सर्वाधिकार सुरक्षित।. गोपनीयता नीति | सेवाओं की शर्तें बी नेटवर्क ऐप डाउनलोड करें और वेब3 यात्रा शुरू करें दुनिया का सबसे बड़ा Web3 पोर्टल भागीदारों CoinCarp Binance CoinMarketCap CoinGecko Coinlive Armors सफेद कागज भूमिकाएँ सामान्य प्रश्न © 2021-2026. सर्वाधिकार सुरक्षित।. गोपनीयता नीति | सेवाओं की शर्तें खोज खोजइनसाइटऑनचेनसामाजिकसमाचार उत्तर: एयरड्रॉप शिकारी डेटा विश्लेषण क्रिप्टो हस्तियाँ ट्रैप डिटेक्टर हिन्दी English 繁體中文 简体中文 日本語 Tiếng Việt العربية 한국어 Bahasa Indonesia اردو Русский हिन्दी

智能索引记录