温馨提示：本站仅提供公开网络链接索引服务，不存储、不篡改任何第三方内容，所有内容版权归原作者所有
AI智能索引来源：http://www.bee.com/ar/66234.html
点击访问原文链接

Fan culture is becoming a differentiating variable in prediction markets | Bee Network

进入原网站 导航首页
Fan culture is becoming a differentiating variable in prediction markets | Bee Network Login الأخبار الشائعة منصة إطلاق ميمي وكلاء الذكاء الاصطناعي ديسي مستكشف السلسلة الأعلى لنوبي 100x عملات معدنية لعبة النحل المواقع الأساسية يجب أن يكون لديك التطبيق مشاهير التشفير ديبين الناشئين الأساسية كاشف الفخ الأدوات الأساسية المواقع المتقدمة التبادلات أدوات NFT أهلاً، خروج عالم الويب 3 ألعاب تطبيق خلية نحل منصة النمو إعلان يبحث إنجليزي إعادة شحن العملات تسجيل الدخول تحميل ويب 3 يوني ألعاب تطبيق خلية نحل إعلان بيت•تحليل•Fan culture is becoming a differentiating variable in prediction markets Fan culture is becoming a differentiating variable in prediction marketsتحليلمنذ 4 أيامجديدوايت 2٬894 16 المؤلف | آشير (@أشر_ 0210)

Public Issues Cannot Form a Moat for Emerging Prediction سوقس The competition in prediction markets is quietly changing.

In the early stages of prediction market development, competition revolved more around “underlying capabilities.” Who is more compliant, who can gain regulatory approval, who has deeper liquidity and a more efficient market-making structure determines who can establish market trust first. Platforms represented by Polymarket and Kalshi built markets around macro politics and global major events, gradually establishing a clear cognitive advantage and user mindshare within the American context.

However, macro events themselves are not exclusive. Presidential elections, government shutdowns, war outcomes—these topics are inherently public in nature, and any platform can create similar markets. First-mover platforms rely on the accumulation of time and liquidity, not the exclusivity of the content itself. For latecomers, competing on the same topics can only be a game played on worse liquidity and weaker trust foundations, making it difficult to form a truly structural differentiation.

For emerging prediction markets on BNB Chain, if rule design cannot form a barrier, then content structure and cultural positioning might become new competitive variables. It is precisely at this stage that “fan culture” begins to become important.

Fan Culture and Exclusive Content Supply When a prediction market platform designs events around specific ecosystems, personalities, or community hotspots, it no longer provides public issues for everyone, but rather content embedded within the context of a specific circle. For example, the related predictions launched by predict.fun around Binance ecosystem dynamics, such as “Will the SAFU fund wallet balance change?” or “How many posts will CZ make on platform X within a week?”, are essentially closer to the daily discussion rhythm of the تشفير community. They may not have macro significance, but they are often at the center of the circle’s sentiment.

This logic becomes more intuitive when placed in a more typical Asian fan culture scenario. For instance, whether G-Dragon’s tour will add extra dates, whether Bai Lu will appear at a certain brand launch event, or whether Faker will win another championship before retiring—the appeal of such topics does not come from global attention, but from the high-density discussion within the fan circle itself. They are not public issues, but rather topic nodes with highly concentrated emotion.

Fan culture provides another motivational mechanism here. When a community is highly focused on a certain issue, participation itself becomes a way to express an attitude. Placing a bet is no longer just a probability judgment, but participation in a narrative. Compared to macro markets that require extensive information analysis, this type of topic makes it easier for people to participate directly and is more likely to drive actual trading and discussion heat in the early stages.

What is truly valuable about fan culture is not the emotion itself, but the fact that once emotion is concentrated, it naturally transforms into participation. The denser the discussion, the more active the trading, and the topic itself is continuously amplified.

This may become the biggest difference between emerging prediction markets and leading platforms. The former relies on sustained activity within a circle, while the latter relies on the scale advantage of macro issues. The paths are different, and so is the logic.

From Communication Efficiency to Cultural Barriers Prediction markets are essentially a product driven by discussion. Without discussion, there is no price discovery; without discussion, it is difficult to form sustained participation. The activity level of a platform largely depends on whether topics can be repeatedly disseminated and amplified.

Discussions around macro issues typically revolve around data and analysis, with a relatively restrained pace and a more rational diffusion path. In contrast, issues centered on community figures or controversies inherently possess stronger social attributes. Conflicts of stance, expression of camps, and emotional participation make them more likely to spread rapidly on social media and within communities. In this structure, prediction markets are not just trading tools but become nodes for topic fermentation.

For emerging prediction platforms, communication efficiency itself is a growth lever. A market designed around a community controversy is often more likely to form a discussion loop than a macro-economic event. Participation, sharing, commenting, and re-participation create a reinforcing cycle; the higher the emotional density, the more concentrated the trading behavior. What fan culture brings is not just heat, but a sustainable frequency of interaction.

More importantly, when this interaction occurs over the long term within the same community context, the communication advantage gradually solidifies into a cultural bond. Currently, prediction market platforms on BNB Chain with high community discussion heat, such as Opinion, predict.fun, and Probable, have core users who themselves come from Asian communities. The concentration of the user structure naturally embeds the platform within a specific discussion environment and emotional structure.

Under such conditions, a prediction market is no longer just a replaceable trading tool, but gradually becomes part of the community’s operation. Macro markets can be copied, but interaction models built within specific cultural contexts are difficult to transplant. What fan culture brings is not just short-term activity, but an emotional soil that is harder for external platforms to replicate.

The Asian Path Under Cultural Division Prediction markets are not an industry where technology creates a gap; what truly determines a platform’s direction is content selection and the cultural soil it binds to.

Liquidity depth, product experience, and the number of events are certainly important, but these are more like entry barriers than breakthroughs. For emerging platforms, simply copying popular events from Polymarket or Kalshi is unlikely to shake the established scale and mindshare advantages.

For a group of emerging prediction market platforms, their core users themselves come from Asian communities. The difference in user structure determines the difference in content logic. Compared to macro-political issues, Asian crypto communities place more emphasis on personality narratives, ecosystem dynamics, and community interaction. In this context, designing around community hotspots holds more practical significance than replicating public issues.

The reason fan culture is important is not because it is emotional, but because it naturally fits this user structure. It lowers the barrier to participation, increases communication efficiency, and activates real trading behavior in a short time. More crucially, this cultural soil is difficult to simply copy. Once a platform forms a bond with a specific community, the content is no longer just events, but becomes a continuously operating narrative space.

When prediction markets enter the stage of cultural competition, what determines a platform’s direction is no longer just mechanism design, but the depth of understanding of its own user structure. Whoever understands their community better is more likely to secure a position in the fragmented landscape.

This, perhaps, is the real opportunity for emerging prediction markets.

Related Content As Someone Who Plays Prediction Markets Daily, I See These Innovations and Changes

The Underestimated Advantage of Prediction Markets: Counter-Cyclical, Anti-Volatility, Always Something to Play

هذا المقال مصدره من الانترنت: Fan culture is becoming a differentiating variable in prediction markets

Related: Ending Zero-Sum Games: In-Depth Research Report on Web3 Incentive Engineering and Odyssey Behavioral Dynamics 1. Prologue – The “Singularity” of Odyssey 1.1 Paradigm Shift: Why Do Most Project Odysseys Yield Minimal Results? Although the Odyssey model has created many wealth-creation myths, as we enter 2026, developers are finding it increasingly difficult to generate “breakout effects” by simply imitating leading projects. This lack of efficacy is fundamentally due to a deep fracture between incentive logic and user ecosystems. Incentive entropy increase has triggered severe homogenized involution. When 90% of projects in the market require users to repeat “cross-chain, staking, and sharing” actions to earn nearly identical “Points,” the marginal return on user attention plummets. This model imitation leads to incentive entropy increase—the scarcity of rewards is diluted by a flood of homogeneous projects. Taking Linea’s “The Surge” and the subsequent wave of L2 points wars…

تحليل #عملة # المشفرة# السوقأداة #© 版权声明المصفوفة 上一篇 ETF Outflows $4.5 Billion: Will BTC Drop Another 30% in the Next 3 Months? 下一篇 BTC's "Narrative Crisis": Bloomberg Is Right, But Only Half Right 相关文章 Planet Daily | BTC يصل إلى مستوى مرتفع جديد؛ باحث EF يقترح ترقية طبقة الإجماع Beam Chain (13 نوفمبر) 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 36٬591 3 From Robinhood to MyStonks: Leading the Tokenization of US Stocks and Innovation in Digital Asset Investment 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 26٬029 $5 Billion Equity Stake for Top US AI Chips: The Secret Deal Between UAE Royalty and the Trump Family 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 8٬360 Matrixport Market Insights: Crypto Market Repair Window Opens, Structure and Sentiment Warm Simultaneously 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 11٬636 2 24-Hour Hot Coins and News | CMB International and BNB Chain announce partnership to bring $3.8 billion of CMB Internati 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 22٬018 3 Even with a 95% win rate, I still lose money: I’ve already fallen into the trap of “financial management” schemes that p 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 17٬063 بدون تعليقات يجب عليك تسجيل الدخول لتترك تعليق! تسجيل الدخول على الفور بدون تعليقات... أحدث المقالات Blockchain etabliert sich als Schlüsseltechnologie in klassischen Branchen منذ 15 ساعة 695 Polymarket vs Kalshi: Who is the King of Prediction Markets? منذ 23 ساعة 857 CRCL Surges 35%: Circle’s Q4 EPS Exceeds Expectations by 169%, AI + Stablecoin Moat Continues to Deepen منذ 23 ساعة 728 Jane Street Halts “10 AM Dump,” BTC Stages Strong V-Shaped Rebound, Surging Toward $70K منذ 23 ساعة 759 From Terra’s Collapse to the “10 AM Smash”: How Jane Street Played Both Continents’ Markets? منذ 23 ساعة 675 المواقع الشعبيةTempoGAIBLighterطائرة شراعيةبلانكرايلزبوكر BCPokerالطائرة الورقية للذكاء الاصطناعي Bee.com أكبر بوابة Web3 في العالم الشركاء كوين كارب بينانس CoinMarketCap كوين جيكو كوين لايف الدروع قم بتنزيل تطبيق Bee Network وابدأ رحلة web3 ورق ابيض الأدوار التعليمات © 2021-2026. جميع الحقوق محفوظة. سياسة الخصوصية | شروط الخدمة تحميل تطبيق Bee Network وابدأ رحلة web3 أكبر بوابة Web3 في العالم الشركاء CoinCarp Binance CoinMarketCap CoinGecko Coinlive Armors ورق ابيض الأدوار التعليمات © 2021-2026. جميع الحقوق محفوظة. سياسة الخصوصية | شروط الخدمة يبحث يبحثفي الموقععلى تشيناجتماعيأخبار العنوان: صيادو الإنزال الجوي تحليل البيانات مشاهير التشفير كاشف الفخ العربية English 繁體中文 简体中文 日本語 Tiếng Việt 한국어 Bahasa Indonesia हिन्दी اردو Русский العربية

智能索引记录