温馨提示：本站仅提供公开网络链接索引服务，不存储、不篡改任何第三方内容，所有内容版权归原作者所有
AI智能索引来源：http://www.bee.com/ja/64053.html
点击访问原文链接

2025 Prediction Market Review: Total Trading Volume Exceeds $50 Billion, Top Two Players Hold Over 97.5% Market Share | Bee Network

进入原网站 导航首页
2025 Prediction Market Review: Total Trading Volume Exceeds $50 Billion, Top Two Players Hold Over 97.5% Market Share | Bee Network Login トレンドニュース ミーム・ローンチパッド AIエージェント デサイ トップチェーンエクスプローラー 初心者向け 100x コイン ビーゲーム 重要なウェブサイト 必須のアプリ クリプトセレブリティ デピン ルーキーズ・エッセンシャル トラップディテクタ 基本的なツール 高度な Web サイト 交換 NFTツール こんにちは、 サインアウト Web3 ユニバース ゲーム ダップ ミツバチの巣 成長するプラットフォーム 広告 検索 英語 コインをリチャージする ログイン ダウンロード Web3 ユニ ゲーム ダップ ミツバチの巣 広告 ホーム-分析-2025 Prediction Market Review: Total Trading Volume Exceeds $50 Billion, Top Two Players Hold Over 97.5% Market Share 2025 Prediction Market Review: Total Trading Volume Exceeds $50 Billion, Top Two Players Hold Over 97.5% Market Share分析2ヶ月前更新ワイアット 12,321 22 著者｜ウェンサー (@wenser 2010 )

As 2025 concludes, the prediction market sector has presented its own report card.

According to data from PredictionIndex.xyz, the total trading volume for the prediction market sector in 2025 reached $50.25 billion. Excluding Kalshi and Polymarket, the trading volume for the rest of the ecosystem was $1.25 billion. Additionally, data released by KalshiData shows that Kalshi’s total nominal trading volume for the year amounted to $23.8 billion, a year-on-year increase of 1108%. With both Polymarket and Kalshi achieving valuations exceeding $10 billion, such performance undoubtedly injects a strong dose of confidence into the capital markets and user base. In 2026, the prediction market sector is set to remain a focal point in 暗号.

Odaily will provide a review and brief analysis of the overall data for the prediction market in 2025 in this article for readers’ reference.

Overall Scale of Prediction 市場s in 2025: $50 Billion Level, Kalshi and Polymarket Hold Over 97.5% Market Share According to PredictionIndex.xyz, which conducted end-to-end indexing tracking of the prediction market ecosystem, covering markets, infrastructure, end-users, and new experimental projects, the final results are as follows—

Based on incomplete statistics from the platform, the total trading volume for prediction markets in 2025 was approximately $50.25 billion. Excluding Kalshi and Polymarket, the trading volume for the rest of the ecosystem was $1.25 billion. This long-tail market is crucial for testing and evolving new market designs, incentives, and concepts, involving projects such as azuroprotocol, TrendleFi, hyperstiti0ns, Limitless, MyriadMarkets, overtime, footballdotfun, xodotmarket, predictonfliq, DGbet_official, and BRKTgg.

If such data reveals the current “duopoly” structure of the prediction market, then the 2025 annual data provided by KalshiData, under the Kalshi platform, offers a more detailed view of the current hot sector’s fervor.

Kalshi’s 2025 Report Card: Trading Volume Reaches $23.8 Billion, Up Over 11x Year-on-Year On January 3, KalshiData 発表された that Kalshi achieved record growth across all metrics in 2025.

In terms of nominal trading volume, the annual total reached $23.8 billion, a year-on-year increase of 1108%, approximately 12.1 times.

December set a new monthly all-time high of $6.38 billion; The 4th week of December set a new weekly all-time high of $1.7 billion; December 21 set a new daily all-time high of $381.7 million. In terms of the number of trades, the annual total reached 97 million, a year-on-year increase of 1680%, approximately 17.8 times.

December saw 27.67 million trades; The 4th week of December saw 7.6 million trades; December 21 saw 1.5 million trades, all setting new all-time highs. In terms of open interest, the total reached $225 million, a year-on-year increase of 169%, approximately 2.7 times.

March 9 set a new daily all-time high of $533 million, The 1st week of March set a new weekly all-time high of $530 million, February set a new monthly all-time high of $499.5 million. In terms of the number of contracts traded, the annual total reached 23.8 billion, a year-on-year increase of 1108%, approximately 12.1 times.

December set a new monthly all-time high with 6.38 billion contracts; The 4th week of December set a new weekly all-time high with 1.7 billion contracts; December 21 set a new single-day all-time high with 382 million contracts. によると data from the KalshiData website, since its launch on June 28, 2021, Kalshi’s historical total trading volume has reached $27,255,757,183, with a daily average trading volume of $16,619,364 and a total of 27,242,274,566 trades.

As for Polymarket, although it promotes the concept of “on-chain prediction markets,” its 2025 trading volume data remains somewhat unclear, possibly due to differences in statistical methodologies and data sources.

Polymarket’s 2025 Report Card: Trading Volume Estimated Around $22-25 Billion によると DefiLlamaデータ, Polymarket’s full-year DEX trading volume for 2025 was approximately $10.5 billion.

According to information from a Dune dashboard, Polymarket’s full-year trading volume for 2025 was approximately $22.5 billion.

によると the PredictionIndex.xyz website, Polymarket’s cumulative historical trading volume is $23.2 billion.

によると、 “Prediction Markets Report” jointly issued by Keyrock and platforms like Dune, the total transaction volume for prediction markets in 2025 was $44 billion, with Polymarket’s trading volume being approximately $21.5 billion (Odaily Note: In contrast, Kalshi’s trading volume was about $17.1 billion).

Considering the above information and the data provided by Kalshi’s official platform earlier stating “Kalshi’s annual trading volume is $23.8 billion,” we take a relatively median estimate, projecting Polymarket’s overall trading volume for 2025 to be around $22 billion.

Prediction Market Segments: Sports Ranks First, Political Events and Cryptocurrency Follow in Second and Third Place According to relevant information from the “Prediction Markets Report” jointly issued by Keyrock and platforms like Dune, specifically regarding prediction market betting events,

In 2025, Kalshi remained focused on sports, with sports accounting for approximately 85% of its nominal trading volume.

In contrast, Polymarket exhibited a more diversified portfolio—

Sports (39%), politics (34%), and cryptocurrency (18%) collectively drove over 90% of prediction market betting activity.

Furthermore, calculated by trading volume,

Trading volume for prediction events in the economics field grew 905%, reaching $112 million; Trading volume for prediction events in technology and science grew 1637%, reaching $123 million; Open betting events were led by economics (growing 7x to a market size of approximately $800 million) and social & culture (growing 6x to a market size of approximately $700 million), indicating increasing use for macro hedging and long-term positioning. Other categories (e.g., culture, society) also showed significant growth. The overall contract opening trading size grew from around $3.3 billion at the beginning of 2025 to approximately $13 billion, with substantial improvements in market depth and liquidity. Prediction Markets Also Have “Peak and Off-Peak Seasons”: The Second Half of the Year Sees a Surge in Trading Volume It is worth noting that as of late August 2025, data showed that Polymarket’s trading volume remained around $7.5-8 billion. However, with the surge of various unexpected events, political events, and sports competitions in the second half of the year, both Polymarket and Kalshi entered a “trading explosion period”:

In September, the combined trading volume of Kalshi and Polymarket reached $1.44 billion;

In October, prediction market trading volume reached $8.7 billion, with Kalshi leading and Polymarket following;

In November, the combined trading volume of Kalshi and Polymarket approached $10 billion. Specifically, Kalshi’s trading volume reached $5.8 billion, a month-on-month increase of 32%; Polymarket’s trading volume reached $3.74 billion, a month-on-month increase of 23.8%.

In December 2025, analyst Patrick Scott 述べた that prediction market trading volume exceeded $13 billion in November 2025, more than three times the volume during the peak of the 2024 election. Polymarket, Kalshi, and OPINION accounted for the vast majority of the trading volume. Binary options are now applied to political speeches, sports events, and listed company earnings reports, becoming a probability layer for world events and news.

Considering Kalshi’s December trading volume of $6.38 billion, Polymarket’s trading volume is likely equally impressive. The overall prediction market trading volume for December 2025 might have reached a scale of $13-15 billion.

Top 5 Star Players in Prediction Markets: Kalshi, Polymarket, and Others Finally, we can refer to the existing statistical data on the PredictionIndex.xyz website. As of the time of writing, the Top 5 prediction market platforms by trading volume are as follows:

Kalshi, with a historical platform trading volume of approximately $27.1 billion; Polymarket, with a historical platform trading volume of approximately $23.2 billion; Opinion, with a historical platform trading volume of approximately $13.1 billion (Odaily Note: Considering the platform’s launch time and mechanism, there may be issues with wash trading. This data is presented based on the statistical platform’s information.); Limitless, with a historical platform trading volume of approximately $512 million; Azuro, with a historical platform trading volume of approximately $444 million.

Previously, Kalshi’s CEO stated that the prediction market size is around $150 billion. Although the final total trading volume for 2025 was only one-third of that claim, considering that the prediction market sector was not even fully formed in 2024, his statement of a “$150 billion market size” is not unfounded. With a series of hot prediction events such as the 2026 US midterm elections and the World Cup already confirmed, the overall market size of prediction markets may continue to grow by 10x in 2026.

Of course, as we mentioned earlier in “Only One in Ten Prediction Markets Will Survive Until Year-End, Not an Exaggeration”, a hot sector does not mean all projects and platforms will thrive. For ordinary players like us, considering limitations such as liquidity depth and capital allocation, focusing on 1-3 mainstream platforms might be a better choice.

この記事はインターネットから得たものです。 2025 Prediction Market Review: Total Trading Volume Exceeds $50 Billion, Top Two Players Hold Over 97.5% Market Share

Related: 2026, Survive: A Bear Market Survival and Counterattack Handbook for Crypto Enthusiasts Author｜Wenser ( @wenser2010 ) In April of this year, Trump’s first “tariff trade war” triggered a flash crash in the crypto market. In my article , “The Crypto Era of Chaos Begins: 13 Suggestions for Your Reference,” I systematically outlined my predictions for the market’s subsequent trajectory and corresponding strategies. Most of my predictions have come true, including TACO trading, the stablecoin craze, the investment boom, timely stop-loss orders, and the rebound of older cryptocurrencies fueled by AI. As we approach the end of 2025, the crypto market has once again fallen into a stalemate of fluctuating between $85,000 and $90,000. As I mentioned in my previous article, “If This Continues, Nobody Will Trade Crypto Anymore,” the number of active investors in the market is visibly decreasing, and new investors…

#分析#暗号# デフィ# マーケット© 版权声明配列 上一篇 24H Hot Cryptocurrencies and Key News｜Prince Group Founder Chen Zhi Deported to China; Polymarket Rules US Military Venezuela Operation Does Not Constitute "Invasion" (January 8) 下一篇 Trump's Shopping Cart: Greenland, Canals, and Canada 相关文章 Why Must Banks Suppress Stablecoin Yields? 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 8,794 Who will own the most Bitcoin in 2025? 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 23,345 24-Hour Hot Coins and News | Jack Ma indirectly holds ETH; Trump delivers live speech, dispelling rumors of critical ill 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 23,271 24H Hot Cryptocurrencies and Key News｜Market News: U.S. House Approves Funding Bill to End Government Shutdown; Fed Governor Mester: The Fed Needs to Cut Rates by About One Percentage Point This Year (February 4th) 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 9,535 A blogger who reported a $45 million profit on Binance’s live trading platform commented: “Inexperienced traders, stop day trading now!” 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 16,950 2 24H Hot Coins and News | Fidelity will launch a tokenized fund that invests in U.S. Treasury bonds; Trump posted a messa 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 38,818 3 最新記事 How to Systematically Track High-Win-Rate Addresses on Polymarket? 1時間前 36 CoinEx Research: Geopolitical Tensions Drive Up Oil and Gold Prices, Crypto Market Absorbs Liquidity Shock 1時間前 190 Low-Threshold Investment in SpaceX and ByteDance: MSX Partners with Republic to Usher in a New Era of Global Top Unicorn Investment 1時間前 155 Hold Bitcoin Mid-Term Short Positions, HYPE Successfully Rides the Wave for Profits | Guest Analysis 1時間前 231 Arthur Hayes: Middle East Flares Up, Time to Be Bullish on Bitcoin 1時間前 243 人気のウェブサイトTempoLighterGAIBグライダープランクレイリーズBCPoker（ビーシーポーカーヴーイ Bee.com 世界最大の Web3 ポータル パートナー コインカープ バイナンス コインマーケットキャップ CoinGecko コインライブ 鎧 Bee Network APP をダウンロードして、Web3 の旅を始めましょう 白書 役割 よくある質問 © 2021-2026.無断複写・転載を禁じます。. プライバシーポリシー | 利用規約 Bee Networkアプリをダウンロード そしてWeb3の旅を始めましょう 世界最大のWeb3ポータル パートナー CoinCarp Binance CoinMarketCap CoinGecko Coinlive Armors 白書 役割 よくある質問 © 2021-2026.無断複写・転載を禁じます。. プライバシーポリシー | 利用規約 検索 検索インサイトオンチェーン社交ニュース 热门推荐： エアドロップハンター データ分析 クリプトセレブリティ トラップディテクタ 日本語 English 繁體中文 简体中文 Tiếng Việt العربية 한국어 Bahasa Indonesia हिन्दी اردو Русский 日本語

智能索引记录