温馨提示:本站仅提供公开网络链接索引服务,不存储、不篡改任何第三方内容,所有内容版权归原作者所有
AI智能索引来源:http://www.bee.com/64016.html
点击访问原文链接

Matrixport Market Insights: Crypto Market Repair Window Opens, Structure and Sentiment Warm Simultaneously | Bee Network

Matrixport Market Insights: Crypto Market Repair Window Opens, Structure and Sentiment Warm Simultaneously | Bee Network Login Trending News Meme Launchpad AI Agents DeSci TopChainExplorer For Newbee 100x Coins Bee Game Essential Websites Must-Have APP Crypto Celebrities DePIN Rookies Essential Trap Detector Basic Tools Advanced Websites Exchanges NFT Tools Hi, Sign out Web3 Universe Games DApp Bee Hive Growing Platform AD Search English Recharge Coins Login Download Web3 Uni Games DApp Bee Hive AD homeAnalysis•Main text Matrixport Market Insights: Crypto Market Repair Window Opens, Structure and Sentiment Warm SimultaneouslyAnalysis2mos agoUpdateWyatt 11,990 25 From a macro perspective, the core trading logic for the market remains the shift in global liquidity expectations. The Federal Reserve continued its rate-cutting path in 2025, lowering the target range for the federal funds rate to 3.50% – 3.75% by year-end. The sustained cooling of inflation and the job market has created the possibility for further monetary policy easing in 2026.

Although geopolitical events at the beginning of the year (such as the situation in Venezuela) once triggered brief risk-off sentiment, the market quickly digested them as short-term emotional disturbances and did not constitute a driver for a trend reversal. Overall, the relatively benign macro policy outlook has created favorable external conditions for the crypto market’s recovery.

Market Performance: Tax-Loss Selling Pressure Subsides, Capital Inflows Drive Price Recovery In the first week of the year, BTC and ETH showed a clear recovery-driven uptrend. BTC rebounded from around 88,000 USDT to above 92,000 USDT, with a year-to-date return of approximately +5%; ETH gained about +6% over the same period. This movement is the result of three converging forces:

End of Holidays: Trading activity returned to normal, restoring market liquidity. Tax-Loss Selling Pressure Subsides: The concentrated year-end selling pressure from U.S. investors realizing capital losses for tax purposes, which was released in December, significantly weakened at the start of the new year. Historical data shows that markets often rebound following the end of such selling pressure. Capital Inflows: New allocation funds and buying interest from the Asian time zone actively entered the market, absorbing the year-end sell-side pressure and pushing prices higher from the post-pullback consolidation range. On-Chain Insights: Signs of Supply Tightening and Capital Inflows Changes in on-chain data provide micro-level evidence for the market’s stabilization and recovery: Continued Decline in Exchange Balances: Both BTC and ETH have seen sustained net outflows from centralized exchanges, tightening the supply of readily tradable tokens in circulation and reducing potential concentrated selling pressure; Stablecoin Supply Rebounds: The total market capitalization of major stablecoins has resumed an upward trajectory, indicating a more ample supply of “ammunition” available on-chain to purchase crypto assets, providing liquidity support for the market; Recovery in On-Chain Activity: The daily active address counts on the Bitcoin and Ethereum networks have rebounded at the start of the year, reflecting a gradual recovery in user participation and market sentiment.

Derivatives Signals: Sentiment Shifts from Defensive to Tentatively Offensive Changes in the derivatives market structure clearly reveal the shift in market sentiment: Implied Volatility (IV) at Low Levels: Short-term option IV has fallen to near two-year lows, indicating low market expectations for extreme volatility in the near term and a trend towards stable sentiment; Significant Repair in Skew Structure: The 25Δ skew in the options market has rapidly converged, with BTC’s skew turning from negative to positive. This means demand for downside protection (put option premium) has weakened, while demand for chasing upside (call option premium) has begun to heat up, shifting market sentiment from defensive to bullish; Concentrated Open Interest (OI) Distribution: A large number of option open interest positions are concentrated around key price levels near the current spot price (e.g., the $90,000 and $100,000 zones for BTC), which will become important psychological and technical battle lines in the short term.

Product Strategy: Adapting to Market Phase, Optimizing Risk-Return Given the current market’s characteristics of “recovery and consolidation, awaiting directional clarity,” investors can choose suitable structured product tools based on their own views.

Expecting Consolidation: If expecting the market to continue range-bound consolidation, strategies like FCN/Dual Currency can be considered, aiming to earn fixed coupons by “selling volatility” within a specific price range, suitable for phases where volatility is retreating from highs. Bullish but Buying on Dips: If long-term bullish but unwilling to chase highs, a discounted Accumulator allows for automatic, staggered purchases at preset lower price levels, with knock-out conditions to control upside risk, suitable for phased accumulation. Bullish or Hedging: For those holding spot and wishing to take profits in batches on the upside, or needing to hedge short-term risks, Decumulator/Covered Call strategies can be considered. The former allows for automatic, staggered selling, while the latter can enhance spot yield and partially lock in a selling price. Need for Liquidity: For those requiring financing but unwilling to bear margin call risks, Non-Recourse Financing can provide low-interest liquidity without margin call risk, suitable for long-term holders. In summary, the current market is in a recovery phase following the year-end pullback. Improved macro liquidity expectations, tightening micro on-chain supply, and warming derivatives market sentiment collectively form a bullish-leaning market structure. However, prices have rebounded near key resistance zones. Whether the market can initiate a new trend still depends on observing a decisive breakout above these important resistance levels.

The above content is from Daniel Yu, Head of Asset Management. This article represents the author’s personal views only.

Disclaimer: The market carries risks, and investment requires caution. This article does not constitute investment advice. Digital asset trading can involve significant risk and volatility. Investment decisions should be made after careful consideration of personal circumstances and consultation with financial professionals. Matrixport is not responsible for any investment decisions based on the information provided herein.

This article is sourced from the internet: Matrixport Market Insights: Crypto Market Repair Window Opens, Structure and Sentiment Warm Simultaneously

Related: Strategy strongly defends MSCI: DAT’s “identity defense battle” The struggle over the development of the digital asset treasury (DAT) industry continues. In October, global index provider MSCI proposed excluding companies with digital asset holdings of 50% or more of their total assets from its global investable market indices. This move directly threatens the market position of digital asset treasury companies like Strategy, and could even reshape the capital flows of the entire digital asset treasury sector. According to data compiled by Bitcoin for Corporations, 39 companies may be excluded from the MSCI World Investable Market Index. JPMorgan analysts previously warned that the removal of Strategy alone could result in nearly $2.8 billion in passive capital outflows, and if other index providers follow suit, it could cause outflows of up to $8.8 billion. Currently, MSCI’s consultation period for this…

# Analysis# bitcoin# crypto# ethereum# Exchange# Market# Token# Tool© Copyright NoticeThe copyright of the article belongs to the author, please do not reprint without permission. Pre Odaily Editorial Team Tea Talk (January 7th) Next Will "Assets Dormant for Three Years" Be Confiscated? Understanding the Truth Behind California's New Bill SB 822 Related articles AAVE hits new high again? Chainlink is expected to increase revenue by tens of millions of dollars per year 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 35,250 Privacy Coins Strikes Back: Naval’s Call Triggers a Surge in ZEC’s Price, Which Projects Will Take Over? 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 19,365 Deconstructing X’s New Algorithm: The Ultimate Guide to Content Monetization in 2026 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 12,167 1 RWA Weekly Report | Commodity Assets Increased $500 Million Weekly, a 19.23% Increase; Ripple Acquired GTreasury for $1 Billion (October 15-21) 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 15,809 1 BTC breaks through the $110,000 mark again in the short term. What will happen next? 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 28,551 4 VC investment style shifts: public blockchains and AI lose momentum; prediction and payments take the lead. 6086cf14eb90bc67ca4fc62b 14,644 2 Bee.com The world's largest Web3 portal Partners CoinCarp Binance CoinMarketCap CoinGecko Coinlive Armors Download Bee Network APP and start the web3 journey White Paper Roles FAQ © 2021—2026. All Rights Reserved. Privacy Policy | Terms of Services Download Bee Network APP and start the web3 journey The world's largest Web3 portal Partners CoinCarp Binance CoinMarketCap CoinGecko Coinlive Armors White Paper Roles FAQ © 2021—2026. All Rights Reserved. Privacy Policy | Terms of Services Search SearchInSiteOnChainSocialNews Hot to you: Airdrop Hunters Data Analysis Crypto Celebrities Trap Detector English 繁體中文 简体中文 日本語 Tiếng Việt العربية 한국어 Bahasa Indonesia हिन्दी اردو Русский English

智能索引记录